Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 9

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Minera		Real Jaén

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.1
	2.20	3.17	3.10	Watch
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.16	3.25	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 (2.17)	3.22 ↑ (3)	3.13 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minera
42.3%

Draw
28.4%

Real Jaén
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

30.9%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

31.6%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Real Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minera than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Jaén than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Minera - Real Jaén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Lozano O. ⚽,
72', 1 - 1, Holgado S. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Minera has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaén's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jaén may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Minera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Minera - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Minera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.10.25	Xerez CD - Minera	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Minera - La Unión	1:0 ✺
12.10.25	Minera - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Linares Deportivo - Minera	3:2 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
01.10.25	Minera - Orihuela	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWTLL
- Real Jaén
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Real Jaén - Eldense	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
25.10.25	Real Jaén - Almeria B	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Puente Genil - Real Jaén	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Real Jaén - Melilla	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Estepona - Real Jaén	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWTTW

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