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Current Win Probability
Mineros de Zacatecas 37.9%
Draw 27.5%
Atlético Morelia 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.1%
28.9%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.3%
29.7%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mineros de Zacatecas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Morelia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mineros de Zacatecas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mineros de Zacatecas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Morelia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
75%
25%
Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético Morelia Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Duran L. (G) 2. Cervantes L. 12. Hernandez L. 5. Cano J. 3. Manriquez S. 19. Magana K. 96. Flores Sanchez C. A. 10. Avila J. (C) 25. Villalobos A. 9. Machado J. 7. Carballo E.
22. Pasquel Colin R. (G) 2. Lopez Aburto R. 6. De Buen D. 4. Zamora D. 16. Sandoval R. 20. Aguilar D. 8. Martinez J. (C) 19. Rodriguez M. 10. Dominguez M. 17. Nambo M. 9. del Campo R.
Substitutes
20. Castro Garcia W. D. 110. Cordero M. 30. Jimenez J. 4. Marmolejo D. 24. Padilla P. 91. Ramirez J. 6. Rios P. 86. Rios R. 11. Sandoval L. 22. Valenzuela J. (G)
13. Andrade A. 21. Castellanos E. 14. Castellanos R. 28. Flores A. 1. Galan R. (G) 3. Hernandez S. 11. Lopez V. 26. Martinez J. 7. Romero P. 5. Van Rankin J.
Coaches
Munoz L.
Colace H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Carballo E. 🟨,
28', del Campo R. 🟨,
30', Hernandez L. 🟨,
37', Magana K. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, del Campo R. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
62', Sandoval R. 🟨,
67', Carballo E. 🟨,
68', Flores Sanchez C. A. 🟨,
72', Villalobos A. ↓, Sandoval L. ↑,
75', del Campo R. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
75', Rodriguez M. ↓, Flores A. ↑,
76', Magana K. ↓, Rios P. ↑,
76', Machado J. ↓, Castro Garcia W. D. ↑,
82', Hernandez L. 🟥,
85', Avila J. ↓, Marmolejo D. ↑,
85', Flores Sanchez C. A. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
88', Dominguez M. 🟨,
88', Dominguez M. ↓, Castellanos E. ↑,
88', Lopez Aburto R. ↓, Van Rankin J. ↑,
90+2', Nambo M. ↓, Romero P. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 1.
Mineros de Zacatecas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Morelia is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Atlético Morelia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Mineros de Zacatecas won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.6:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Mineros de Zacatecas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 2.1:1.1).
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Duran L. (G) 
Cano J. 
del Campo R. 
Castellanos R. 
Galan R. (G) 
Colace H. 
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