Match Info

Date: 28 February 2021, Sunday


	Minerva		Águilas

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.76
	4.4	3.35	1.71
	4.78	3.49	1.68
	4.65	3.58	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↑ (3.22)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	1.71 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minerva
20.4%

Draw
26.7%

Águilas
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

27.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

21%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minerva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minerva's form might have worsened.

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minerva than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Águilas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minerva - Águilas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 13 (Second stage) and 3 in the zone Promotion to Tercera Division to Group 13 (Promotion Group)).

Recent matches Minerva is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Águilas in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Minerva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Águilas is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SFC Minerva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.02.21	Los Garres - Minerva	2:1 ✺
14.02.21	Minerva - EDMF Churra	4:0 ✺
07.02.21	Plus Ultra - Minerva	1:2 ✺
03.02.21	Minerva - Olímpico de Totana	2:1 ✺
31.01.21	Minerva - Bullense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWL
- Águilas FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
21.02.21	Águilas - El Palmar	5:0 ✺
17.02.21	EDMF Churra - Águilas	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	UCAM Murcia B - Águilas	0:1 ✺
31.01.21	Águilas - Los Garres	0:0 ✺
27.01.21	Águilas - Bullense	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWTW

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