Match Info
I Liqa - Round 22Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday
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Mingachevir |
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Difai Ağsu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
1.24 |
4.95 |
9.6 |
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 |
1.23 |
5.01 |
8.39 |
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 |
1.19 |
5.80 |
12.47 |
Watch |
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1.25 |
4.6 |
10 |
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1.24 |
4.95 |
10.7 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.23 ↓
(1.39) |
5.06 ↑
(4.15) |
10.23 ↑
(6.7) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Mingachevir
73.4% | Draw
17.8% | Difai Ağsu
8.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.Difai Ağsu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Difai Ağsu than the current prediction. (+4.1%)Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', 1 - 1, Kamta K. ⚽,
- 90', 2 - 1, Abba U. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 3.Mingachevir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Difai has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Mingachevir is the undisputed favorite.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 8 | Mingachevir | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 1 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Azerbaijan First Division | | | 18.12.25 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 1:1 | | 24.09.25 | Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu | 2:0 | | 01.05.25 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 1:4 | | 28.02.25 | Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu | 1:0 | | 28.11.24 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 3:3 | | 01.05.24 | Difai Ağsu - Mingachevir | 4:1 | | 29.02.24 | Mingachevir - Difai Ağsu | 1:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
