Match Info
I Liqa - Round 21Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday
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Shimal |
|
Mingachevir |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
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 Watch |
 |
11 |
5.35 |
1.2 |
|
 |
9.99 |
5.67 |
1.19 |
|
 |
7.09 |
4.48 |
1.37 |
Watch |
 |
13 |
5 |
1.2 |
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 |
10.1 |
5.05 |
1.28 |
|
 |
6.25 |
4.2 |
1.38 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.57 ↑
(6.25) |
4.96 ↑
(4.2) |
1.27 ↓
(1.38) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Shimal
9.6% | Draw
18.4% | Mingachevir
72% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mingachevir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimal than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mingachevir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 62', 0 - 1, Haziyev B. (Penalty Awarded),
- 73', 0 - 2, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 87', 0 - 3, Haziyev B. ⚽,
Preview
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape. In this match, Mingachevir is the team to beat.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).Including home match between the teams, Shimal won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
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Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Mingachevir | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 40:20 | 20 | 42 |
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| 10 | Shimal | 22 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 18:57 | -39 | 12 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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