Match Info

I Lyga - Round 16

Date: 22 July 2025, Tuesday

Location: Kretinga Stadium (Kretinga)


	Minija Kretinga		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.7	3.75	1.7	Watch
	3.15	3.6	1.92	Watch
	4.45	3.95	1.65
	3.65	3.28	1.97	Watch
	2.8	3.58	2.16
	3.65	3.64	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↓ (3.65)	3.63 ↓ (3.64)	1.84 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
25.5%

Draw
25.1%

Babrungas Plungė
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

23.9%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

23.4%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Minija will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Babrungas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Babrungas (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Minija (1.99) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH -1 - Babrungas (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Minija (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Babrungas (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Gaudiesius V. (G) 12. Baya T. 15. Diawara M. 17. Ellah C. 20. Galita A. 26. Genutis N. 7. Kasparavicius J. 21. Kazlauskas V. (C) 5. Kirjanov E. 8. Pipiras D. 6. Sidibe M. A.	99. Kublickas D. (G) 7. Borja P. 14. Budrys T. (C) 17. Butkus V. 22. Cepkauskas L. 5. Latakas A. 8. Mantinis K. 9. Pedro Bahia 10. Robinho 11. Skirmantas M. 18. Tabata S.
Substitutes
43. Diawara B. 25. Gunji K. 3. Jakumas L. 19. Keblys M. 11. Putvinas A. 30. Sabitu T. 18. Takei R. 1. Tek D. A. (G) 9. Velyvis M.	55. Agyemang E. 33. Baguzas E. 3. Barusas A. 4. Butkus D. 19. Dalha M. 1. Maltos 20. Paulauskas G. 77. Ukrinas T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minija won 0.

Minija is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Babrungas has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Minija has had a series of away games.

In this match, Babrungas is the team to beat.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Minija won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Minija won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.8:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Minija Kretinga	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Transinvest - Minija Kretinga	2:1 ✺
17.06.25	Minija Kretinga - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	1:4 ✺
13.06.25	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	FA Šiauliai B - Minija Kretinga	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLTL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
27.06.25	FA Šiauliai B - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Panevėžys 2	4:2 ✺
17.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	4:2 ✺
12.06.25	Babrungas Plungė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
08.03.25	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0
14.09.24	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	0:4
26.04.24	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	0:0
04.11.23	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	1:3
23.06.23	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:1
29.10.22	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
24.06.22	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	3:0

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