Match Info

I Lyga - Round 27

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Austria	13:00	DAZN
Brazil	08:00	DAZN Brasil
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
France	13:00	DAZN France
Germany	13:00	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	20:00	DAZN Japan
New Zealand	00:00	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	12:00	DAZN / App
Spain	13:00	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	13:00	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	07:00	DAZN USA


	Minija Kretinga		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.75
	1.55	3.6	4.8
	1.56	3.63	4.73
	1.59	3.8	4.94	Watch
	1.53	3.55	4.6
	1.51	3.68	5.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.79)	3.67 ↑ (3.3)	4.92 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
57.5%

Draw
24.3%

Babrungas Plungė
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.8%

27.5%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

26.4%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Minija Kretinga's performance.

Babrungas Plungė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 3)
57', 1 - 0, ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - TOPLYGA and 2nd in the Promotion - TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minija won 0.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Recently, Minija has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Minija carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Minija in today's match, at odds of 1.55.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Minija has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:19 (averaging 0.7:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Minija against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 3:12 goals (averaging 0.6:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Babrungas	28	22	4	2	52:13	39	70
2	FK Minija	27	22	1	4	71:18	53	67

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Cup
11.10.26	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris	0:3 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
02.10.26	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dainava Alytus - Minija Kretinga	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWW
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
10.10.26	Babrungas Plungė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
11.09.26	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:2 ✺
04.09.26	BFA Vilnius - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Garliava - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
29.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0
22.07.25	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	0:1
08.03.25	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0
14.09.24	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	0:4
26.04.24	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	0:0
04.11.23	Minija Kretinga - Babrungas Plungė	1:3
23.06.23	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:1

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