Match Info

Lithuanian Cup - Final

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas (Kaunas) 🌤️ ...


	Minija Kretinga		Kauno Žalgiris

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.40	1.42
	5.7	4.3	1.4
	6	4.67	1.45	Watch
	5.4	4.15	1.38
	6.14	4.4	1.39
	5.8	4.5	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.72 ↑ (5.7)	4.4 ↓ (4.75)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
15.7%

Draw
20.4%

Kauno Žalgiris
63.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.3%

19.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

17.7%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Kauno Žalgiris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kauno Žalgiris than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kauno Žalgiris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Gaudiesius V. (G) 45. Aderounmu K. 27. Amirzian S. 43. Diawara B. 4. Diawara M. 7. Kasparavicius J. (C) 14. Komissarov N. 3. Mockus E. 9. Nwegbo D. 6. Sidibe M. 21. Zingertas L.	22. Mikelionis D. (C) 7. Benchaib A. 24. Burba M. 27. Debeljuh G. 23. Hernandez A. 20. Kalik A. 62. Kastrati L. II. 33. Konatar M. 9. Krekovic L. 77. Lekiatas R. 14. Slivka V.
Substitutes
13. Gumbaravicius G. 5. Kirjanov E. 10. Lee Min-Woo 22. Pipiras A. (G) 8. Pipiras D. 11. Putvinas A. 15. Sveistrys A. 20. Traore M. 1. Vranes V. (G)	32. Baldassarra F. 11. Cernych F. 17. Fiolic I. 37. Iyobosa Edokpolor N. 8. Karashima Y. 15. Leo Ribeiro 45. Moutachy J. 4. Racic L. 19. Renan Oliveira 10. Sirgedas G. 55. Svedkauskas T. (G) 3. Tolordava A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 🟨,
37', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
63', 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, ⚽,
81', 🟨,
85', 🟨,
89', 🟨,

Preview

Neutral location - S. Dariaus ir S. Girėno stadionas.

Minija is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Kauno Žalgiris could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Minija has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

Kauno Žalgiris holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Minija has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Minija against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.

Last Results with these Odds

Kauno Žalgiris - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.12%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
02.10.26	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris 2	5:0 ✺
19.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Neptūnas	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Dainava Alytus - Minija Kretinga	0:3 ✺
05.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Transinvest 2	3:0 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
01.09.26	Minija Kretinga - Dainava Alytus	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- FK Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
20.09.26	FA Šiauliai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Žalgiris - Kauno Žalgiris	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Panevėžys - Kauno Žalgiris	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Sūduva Marijampolė	5:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kauno Žalgiris - Džiugas Telšiai	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Cup
25.06.19	Minija Kretinga - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2

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