Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Allianz Field (Saint Paul, MN)

Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Minnesota United		Cincinnati

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	2.85	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3
	2.32	3.35	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3.55	3.17
	2.23	3.54	3.11	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3
	2.32	3.56	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.46)	3.45 ↓ (3.72)	3.04 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minnesota United
42%

Draw
27.2%

Cincinnati
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.4%

25.4%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Cincinnati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cincinnati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	7.1%	42.9%

Minnesota United - Cincinnati Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 2 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Callender D. (G) 28. Diaz J. 15. Boxall M. 23. Duggan M. 13. Gonzalez M. 26. Pereyra J. 25. Triantis N. 20. Trapp W. 21. Hlongwane B. 9. Yeboah K. 8. Chancalay T.	18. Celentano R. (G) 4. Hagglund N. 12. Robinson M. 15. Hadebe T. 66. Echenique E. 11. Gidi S. 22. Valenzuela G. 20. Bucha P. 29. Ramirez Leon B. J. 9. Denkey K. 99. Jabbari A.
Substitutes
29. Dieng M. 30. Gene O. 24. Gressel J. 67. Harvey C. 2. Padelford D. 32. Putt T. 10. Rodriguez J. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D.	27. Anunga T. 16. Barlow T. 3. Flores G. 37. Jimenez S. 13. Louro E. (G) 17. Mboma K. 5. Nwobodo O. 2. Powell A. 24. Smith K.
Coaches
Knowles C.	Noonan P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Duggan M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Yeboah K. ⚽, Chancalay T. (A),
69', Jabbari A. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
69', Valenzuela G. ↓, Nwobodo O. ↑,
77', Boxall M. ↓, Padelford D. ↑,
86', Hagglund N. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
86', Echenique E. ↓, Mboma K. ↑,
90+1', Hlongwane B. ↓, Taylor D. ↑,
90+1', Triantis N. ↓, Gene O. ↑,
90+6', Diaz J. 🟨,
90+7', Barlow T. ↓, Flores G. ↑,
90+7', Gidi S. ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
90+7', Yeboah K. ↓, Dieng M. ↑,
90+10', Chancalay T. ↓, Gressel J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 3.

Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Minnesota is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Cincinnati: Fletcher K. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Cincinnati: Miazga M. (Leg Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 2:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 2.5:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cincinnati - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 36.2%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minnesota United
MLS
21.02.26	Austin FC - Minnesota United	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Charlotte - Minnesota United	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
MLS
24.11.25	San Diego - Minnesota United	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Minnesota United - Seattle Sounders	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLWLW
- FC Cincinnati
CONCACAF Champions Cup
25.02.26	Cincinnati - Universidad O&M	9:0 ✺
MLS
21.02.26	Cincinnati - Atlanta United	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
18.02.26	Universidad O&M - Cincinnati	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
23.01.26	New England Revolution - Cincinnati	1:1 ✺
MLS
23.11.25	Cincinnati - Inter Miami	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
18.09.24	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	1:2
07.05.22	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	0:1
24.10.20	Cincinnati - Minnesota United	0:1
03.10.20	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	2:0
29.06.19	Minnesota United - Cincinnati	7:1
US Open Cup
06.06.18	Cincinnati - Minnesota United	0:1 penalties

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