The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 46.6%
Draw 25.3%
Minnesota United 28.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
25.5%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
24.7%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Minnesota United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
St. Louis City - Minnesota United Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 27. Fall F. 32. Baumgartl T. 99. Orozco J. 6. Wallem C. 24. Edelman D. 21. Polvara D. 20. Rafael Santos 19. Holse C. 11. Becher S. 9. Rafael Navarro
12. Callender D. (G) 67. Harvey C. 15. Boxall M. (C) 5. Romero N. 3. Duncan K. 30. Gene O. 20. Trapp W. 13. Markanich A. 26. Pereyra J. 9. Yeboah K. 8. Chancalay T.
Substitutes
42. Downs D. 8. Durkin C. 77. Jeong S. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 23. Matan A. 4. Mbacke M. 7. Ostrak T. 14. Totland T.
22. Caldeira M. 33. Chandler K. 28. Diaz J. 18. Gonzalez M. 16. Jackson A. 11. Malone M. 1. Smir A. (G) 27. Taylor D. 25. Triantis N.
Coaches
Damet Y.
Knowles C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Chancalay T. ⚽, Pereyra J. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Edelman D. ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Holse C. ⚽, Wallem C. (A),
38', 3 - 1, Rafael Navarro ⚽, Holse C. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Boxall M. 🟨,
57', 4 - 1, Rafael Navarro (Penalty Awarded),
59', Holse C. ↓, Matan A. ↑,
59', Edelman D. ↓, Durkin C. ↑,
59', Rafael Santos ↓, Totland T. ↑,
61', 4 - 2, Yeboah K. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Duncan K. 🟨,
75', Yeboah K. ↓, Malone M. ↑,
75', Romero N. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
75', Trapp W. ↓, Triantis N. ↑,
76', Becher S. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
76', Fall F. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
80', Duncan K. 🟨,
83', Chancalay T. ↓, Jackson A. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 0.
St. Louis City is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Minnesota is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
St. Louis City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 1:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Outrights of MLS for now
St. Louis City: 3.85% Minnesota United: 0.62%
Last Results with these Odds
Minnesota United - the odds 3.4 are the expected chance of winning is 27.41%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.