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Current Win Probability
San Diego 55.9%
Draw 22.7%
Austin FC 21.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
23.3%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62%
25.8%
18.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Diego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Austin FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Diego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
San Diego - Austin FC Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Austin will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
18. Ferree D. (C) 27. Bombino L. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 8. Valakari O. 15. Soma P. 19. Vazquez D. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. 77. Mighten A.
1. Stuver B. (C) 17. Gallagher J. 5. Svatok O. 15. Bell J. 23. Kolmanic Z. 11. Torres F. 20. Dubersarsky N. 14. Sabovic B. 30. Rosales J. 10. Uzuni M. 19. Fodrey C.
Substitutes
70. Alvarado Jr A. 21. Duke B. 20. Godoy A. 98. Jackson J. (G) 90. Pellegrino A. 25. Pilcher I. 29. Saidi A. 33. Verhoeven O. 14. Zamble B. B.
32. Burton M. 3. Desler M. 35. Djordjevic M. 29. Guilherme Biro 12. Las D. (G) 21. Ramirez C. 6. Sanchez I. 38. Torres E. 33. Wolff O.
Coaches
Varas M.
Estevez N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Vazquez D. ⚽, Valakari O. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Dreyer A. ⚽, Soma P. (A),
44', Bombino L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 3 - 0, Soma P. ⚽, Mighten A. (A),
63', Fodrey C. ↓, Wolff O. ↑,
66', Sargeant K. ↓, Verhoeven O. ↑,
66', Soma P. ↓, Godoy A. ↑,
69', Uzuni M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
69', Svatok O. ↓, Djordjevic M. ↑,
69', Torres F. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
75', Rosales J. ↓, Burton M. ↑,
79', 4 - 0, Ingvartsen M. ⚽, Bombino L. (A),
82', Dreyer A. ↓, Zamble B. B. ↑,
82', Valakari O. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
82', Bombino L. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 0, Vazquez D. ⚽, Godoy A. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10).
San Diego is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Austin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Austin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, San Diego is the team to beat.
There will not play in San Diego: Kumado W.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Morgan L.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Reyes A.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sisniega P.
(Back Injury)
Tverskov J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
dos Santos C. J.
(Injury)
There will not play in Austin: Nelson J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Taylor R.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in San Diego: Pellegrino A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Austin: Bell J.
(Injury)
Gonzalez A.
(Injury)
Hines-Ike B.
(Injury)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, San Diego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Outrights of MLS for now
San Diego FC: 0.86% Austin FC: 0.53%
Last Results with these Odds
San Diego - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 56%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.