Match Info

MLS

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Snapdragon Stadium (San Diego, CA)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	San Diego		Vancouver Whitecaps

	1	X	2
	3.3	4.1	1.91	Watch
	3.3	3.75	1.98
	3.35	4.15	1.95	Watch
	3.46	4.15	1.98
	3.42	4.02	1.96	Watch
	3.25	3.8	1.91
	3.56	4.1	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.7)	4.01 ↑ (3.82)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Diego
28%

Draw
23.6%

Vancouver Whitecaps
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.7%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

24.6%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Diego has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Vancouver Whitecaps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vancouver Whitecaps than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	0%	63.6%

San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. San Diego will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Vancouver will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vancouver: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. San Diego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. dos Santos C. J. (G) 33. Verhoeven O. 97. McVey C. 26. Duah M. 5. Sargeant K. 8. Valakari O. 15. Soma P. 19. Vazquez D. 10. Dreyer A. 7. Ingvartsen M. (C) 90. Pellegrino A.	32. Boehmer I. (G) 18. Ocampo E. 33. Blackmon T. 2. Laborda M. 28. Johnson T. 16. Berhalter S. 59. Badwal J. 17. Cabrera Nakamura K. G. 13. Muller T. (C) 22. Jackson A. 24. White B.
Substitutes
70. Alvarado Jr A. 27. Bombino L. 21. Duke B. 18. Ferree D. (G) 77. Mighten A. 9. Morgan L. 25. Pilcher I. 29. Saidi A. 14. Zamble B. B.	14. Caicedo B. 41. Djordjevic N. 19. Elloumi R. 29. Gherasimencov M. 97. MacKenzie L. 6. Priso R. 15. Schonlau S. 4. Veselinovic R. 30. Zendejas A. (G)
Coaches
Varas M.	Sorensen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, White B. ⚽, Muller T. (A),
45', 0 - 2, White B. ⚽, Badwal J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Sargeant K. ↓, Bombino L. ↑,
50', White B. 🟨,
53', 1 - 2, Vazquez D. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
54', Bombino L. 🟨,
63', Badwal J. 🟨,
63', Jackson A. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Caicedo B. ⚽, White B. (A),
71', Soma P. ↓, Saidi A. ↑,
71', Vazquez D. ↓, Alvarado Jr A. ↑,
72', Bombino L. 🟨,
74', Cabrera Nakamura K. G. ↓, Priso R. ↑,
75', Pellegrino A. ↓, Pilcher I. ↑,
75', 1 - 4, Priso R. ⚽, White B. (A),
84', Johnson T. ↓, Gherasimencov M. ↑,
84', White B. ↓, Elloumi R. ↑,
84', Badwal J. ↓, Djordjevic N. ↑,
86', Ingvartsen M. ↓, Zamble B. B. ↑,
87', Verhoeven O. 🟨,
90+1', 2 - 4, Zamble B. B. ⚽, Dreyer A. (A),
90+2', Caicedo B. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, San Diego has had a series of home games.

Recently, Vancouver has had a series of away games.

Vancouver could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in San Diego: Kumado W. (Lower-Body Injury) Sisniega P. (Back Injury) Tverskov J. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Vancouver: Adekugbe S. (Muscle Injury) Cubas A. (Yellow Cards) Gauld R. (Knee Injury) Halbouni B. (Knee Injury) Priso R. (Injury) Schonlau S. (Hamstring Injury) Takaoka Y. (Red Card)

There are questionable in San Diego: Reyes A. (Lower-Body Injury)

There are questionable in Vancouver: Sabbi E. (Groin Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, San Diego won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 2.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Diego won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Vancouver Whitecaps - the odds 1.9 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Diego FC
MLS
16.05.26	San Diego - Cincinnati	3:3 ✺
13.05.26	San Diego - Austin FC	5:0 ✺
09.05.26	Seattle Sounders - San Diego	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	San Diego - Los Angeles	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	San Diego - Portland Timbers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TWTTL
- Vancouver Whitecaps
MLS
16.05.26	Houston Dynamo - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:0 ✺
13.05.26	FC Dallas - Vancouver Whitecaps	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
02.05.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Vancouver Whitecaps - Colorado Rapids	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
29.11.25	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:3
19.07.25	San Diego - Vancouver Whitecaps	1:1
25.06.25	Vancouver Whitecaps - San Diego	3:5

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