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Current Win Probability
Minnesota United 2 37.5%
Draw 25.1%
Houston Dynamo 2 37.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38%
24.7%
37.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
24.7%
37.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minnesota United 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Houston Dynamo 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dynamo 2 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Houston Dynamo 2 (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Rizvanovich K. (G) 35. Tarnue P. 31. Dang N. 92. Kabia A. 17. Randell D. 90. Pechota L. 50. Harwood M. 95. Vigilante S. 32. Putt T. 22. Caldeira M. 59. Farris J.
1. Pedro Cruz (G) 44. Gardner M. 14. Betancourt N. 30. Mwakutuya I. 12. Silva V. 22. Arana M. 8. Gustavo Dohmann 39. Mohammad S. 11. Bell J. 27. Miller R. 7. Brummett A.
Substitutes
61. Bernard J. 62. Bojang M. 97. Clarkson J. 75. Cruz H. 45. Dennis T. 36. Friedman J. 51. Grulke C. 64. Saidi I. 60. Zeruhn K. (G)
16. Alan 9. Arthur Sousa 33. Dimareli M. 18. Gonzalez D. 34. Harris M. 3. Hata E. 17. Herrera D. 24. Jiana M. 43. Vedishchev R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', Miller R. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Randell D. ⚽, Caldeira M. (A),
43', Harwood M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Brummett A. ⚽,
61', Miller R. ↓, Herrera D. ↑,
62', Putt T. ↓, Friedman J. ↑,
62', Bell J. ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
73', Harwood M. ↓, Clarkson J. ↑,
78', Gardner M. ↓, Alan ↑,
79', Kabia A. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
87', Betancourt N. ↓, Harris M. ↑,
87', Randell D. 🟨,
90+2', Herrera D. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Caldeira M. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Brummett A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Farris J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gonzalez D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Friedman J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Silva V. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vigilante S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 3.
Minnesota 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2 is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Houston Dynamo 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Houston Dynamo 2 has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.7:2).
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Rizvanovich K. (G) 
Tarnue P. 
Kabia A. 
Putt T. 
Caldeira M. 
Pedro Cruz (G) 
Arana M. 
Bell J. 
Hata E. 
Vedishchev R. 
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