The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Texas 23.2%
Draw 24.3%
Austin II 52.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.5%
24.5%
50.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.8%
23.8%
52.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
North Texas - Austin II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Dymora E. (G) 29. Newman E. 22. Alvaro Augusto 26. Starnes S. (C) 53. Vejrostek L. 27. Swann C. 10. Nys E. 32. Martins L. 15. Louis R. 30. Kimbrough D. 36. Baran D.
1. Farrar C. (G) 14. Ciesla D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 8. Gonzalez A. 6. Barro D. (C) 24. Hot K. 11. Gryczewski P. 22. Sall I. 37. Feliciano L.
Substitutes
21. Flowers B. 25. Gibson J. 14. Goncalves L. 11. James N. 46. Kaakoush I. 56. Martinez D. (G) 18. Ospina T. 23. Sedeh S. 16. Simmonds N.
7. Abarca D. 48. Ayala C. 41. Chamberlain L. 9. Danciutiu V. 21. Dobrijevic S. 3. Dobruna D. 45. Klinger R. 13. Lauta E. (G) 16. Ruszel M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
29', Vejrostek L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kimbrough D. ↓, James N. ↑,
55', Watt E. 🟨,
55', Bery J. 🟨,
60', Martins L. 🟨,
60', Gonzalez A. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
60', Hot K. ↓, Ayala C. ↑,
60', Gryczewski P. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
64', Martins L. 🟨,
65', Vejrostek L. ↓, Goncalves L. ↑,
65', Baran D. ↓, Simmonds N. ↑,
65', Sall I. ↓, Dobrijevic S. ↑,
67', Louis R. 🟨,
67', Cayelli P. 🟨,
86', Feliciano L. ↓, Danciutiu V. ↑,
86', Louis R. ↓, Ospina T. ↑,
90+1', Swann C. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Nys E. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Barro D. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Simmonds N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Dobrijevic S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, James N. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Danciutiu V. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ospina T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Abarca D. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Austin II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 2.
In recent matches, North Texas has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Austin II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, Austin II is seen as the favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1.5:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).
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Dymora E. (G) 
Alvaro Augusto 
Nys E. 
Louis R. 
Kimbrough D. 
Baran D. 
Farrar C. (G) 
Bery J. 
Barro D. (C) 
Sall I. 
James N. 
Simmonds N. 
Danciutiu V. 
Dobruna D. 
