Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 29 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Torpedo (Minsk)

Referee: Kurgheli A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	YASNAe


	Minsk		Dnyapro Mogilev

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.89	3.64	4.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2)	3.52 ↑ (3.5)	3.88 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk
50%

Draw
26.2%

Dnyapro Mogilev
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

27.2%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Gutor A. (C) 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 4. Grekovich V. 5. Zhevnerov E. 99. Lisakovich R. 6. Zemko E. 17. Pyachura R. 77. Malashevich E. 14. Vasiljev V. 35. Simanenka T. 7. Zabelin K.	54. Generalov E. (G) 88. Yurkevich F. 23. Dunaev A. 22. Boltrushevich I. 66. Lukashov A. 37. Margiev R. 21. Vershinin G. 55. Krasnov N. 90. Feliciano 5. Dongo C. 7. Klochkov Y. (C)
Substitutes
13. Bondarenko M. 44. Krivtsov G. 9. Lapun E. 11. Lebedev F. 8. Migdalenok A. 71. Mustafa J. 23. Nazarenko A. 37. Sukharenko M. (G)	10. Aleksandrovich A. 20. Bordukov P. 30. Filipenko T. (G) 77. Guilherme Brito 33. Gurbanov M. 69. Kapov K. 11. Sobolev N. 8. Vigovsky D.
Coaches
Chelyadinsky A.	Radushko O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Simanenka T. ⚽, Zemko E. (A),
21', 2 - 0, Malashevich E. ⚽, Pyachura R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Malashevich E. ↓, Mustafa J. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Krasnov N. ⚽,
57', Margiev R. ↓, Guilherme Brito ↑,
68', Pyachura R. ↓, Lebedev F. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Dongo C. ⚽,
87', Krasnov N. ↓, Bordukov P. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Minsk won 3.

Minsk is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dnyapro is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Dnyapro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Minsk is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Minsk won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Minsk won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
24.09.24	Dinamo Minsk - Minsk	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Torpedo-BelAZ - Minsk	2:2 ✺
16.09.24	Minsk - Gomel	3:1 ✺
31.08.24	Naftan - Minsk	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Minsk - Dinamo Brest	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LTWWW
- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.09.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Smorgon	2:1 ✺
16.09.24	Dinamo Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0 ✺
01.09.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Neman Grodno - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Slutsk	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
10.05.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	1:1
30.10.22	Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:0
04.07.22	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	2:4
Club Friendly
17.02.22	Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1
Belarusian Cup
22.06.21	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	2:1
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
23.08.19	Dnyapro Mogilev - Minsk	1:0
19.04.19	Minsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	0:0

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