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Current Win Probability
Dnyapro Mogilev 45.9%
Draw 27.5%
Smorgon 26.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
27.1%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
27.2%
36.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dnyapro Mogilev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dnyapro Mogilev's performance.
Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Smorgon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dnyapro Mogilev that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Smorgon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Dnyapro Mogilev - Smorgon Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
54. Generalov E. (G) 88. Yurkevich F. 23. Dunaev A. 22. Boltrushevich I. 66. Lukashov A. 37. Margiev R. 21. Vershinin G. 55. Krasnov N. 90. Feliciano 5. Dongo C. 7. Klochkov Y. (C)
1. Novichkov I. (G) 78. Tishko A. 30. Likhtin V. (C) 4. Shalashnikov A. 72. Askarov M. 2. Bamba M. L. 25. Levkovets A. 89. Camara Y. 10. Leonovich K. 23. Gorbach P. 19. Guibero R.
Substitutes
10. Aleksandrovich A. 20. Bordukov P. 30. Filipenko T. (G) 77. Guilherme Brito 33. Gurbanov M. 69. Kapov K. 11. Sobolev N.
12. Azarko M. (G) 17. Dukso M. 9. Glotko A. 3. Intsoen C. 7. Kopytich A. 6. Seleznev P.
Coaches
Radushko O.
Slesarchuk I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Levkovets A. 🟨,
33', Margiev R. 🟨,
39', Tishko A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Guibero R. ↓, Dukso M. ↑,
63', Bamba M. L. ↓, Seleznev P. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Boltrushevich I. ⚽,
72', Generalov E. 🟨,
77', Askarov M. ↓, Intsoen C. ↑,
81', 1 - 1, Gorbach P. ⚽,
84', Margiev R. ↓, Guilherme Brito ↑,
84', Krasnov N. ↓, Bordukov P. ↑,
86', 2 - 1, Guilherme Brito ⚽, Klochkov Y. (A),
86', Leonovich K. ↓, Kopytich A. ↑,
88', Tishko A. 🟨,
90+1', Dongo C. ↓, Kapov K. ↑,
90+1', Klochkov Y. ↓, Sobolev N. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 12).
Dnyapro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Smorgon is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Dnyapro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Smorgon have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Dnyapro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.
Belarus
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Generalov E. (G) 
Margiev R. 
Feliciano 
Dongo C. 
Askarov M. 
Camara Y. 
Intsoen C. 
Slesarchuk I. 
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