Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 26

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Traktor (Minsk)

Referee: Shipitsa A. (Blr)


	Minsk		Smorgon

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.31	4
	1.97	3.4	3.76	Watch
	1.75	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.42 ↓ (3.45)	3.95 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minsk
49.1%

Draw
27.3%

Smorgon
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Smorgon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Minsk - Smorgon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Minsk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:-1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ignatiev V. (G) 5. Zhevnerov E. (C) 8. Migdalenok A. 3. Sokol A. 23. Turich A. 91. Nazarenko P. 17. Varaksa V. 15. Yatskevich V. 29. Dubinets I. 22. Makas A. 81. Natama N.	16. Vasilyuchek V. (G) 27. Tishko A. 77. Bogdanovich I. 3. Intsoen C. 9. Chebotar V. 78. Yablonskiy M. 5. Firsov A. 2. Bamba M. 17. Dukso M. (C) 25. Bamba L. 8. Maslovskiy V.
Substitutes
32. Abena F. 20. Bondarenko M. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 47. Drachev Z. 14. Ernisov E. 30. Gutor A. (G) 33. Malitskiy K. 6. Park J. 19. Struk P. 79. Sviridenko I.	18. Aliyu H. S. 19. Azarko M. (G) 91. Budko M. 13. Dayneko A. 4. Diallo M. 55. Dubovik T. 33. Fazylov A. 63. Kukhlejj R. 7. Levkovets A. 20. Tonkevich V.
Coaches
Chelyadinsky A.	Dorokhovich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Makas A. ⚽, Nazarenko P. (A),
16', Dubinets I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Yablonskiy M. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
42', Tishko A. 🟨,
42', 2 - 1, Varaksa V. ⚽,
45', Dorokhovich S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Chebotar V. ↓, Budko M. ↑,
46', Bamba L. ↓, Tonkevich V. ↑,
49', Tonkevich V. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Budko M. ⚽, Dukso M. (A),
58', Tishko A. ↓, Levkovets A. ↑,
67', Dubinets I. ↓, Ernisov E. ↑,
67', Nazarenko P. ↓, Dikhtievskiy V. ↑,
74', Yablonskiy M. ↓, Diallo M. ↑,
79', Migdalenok A. ↓, Malitskiy K. ↑,
79', Makas A. ↓, Bondarenko M. ↑,
83', Malitskiy K. 🟨,
90+1', Varaksa V. 🟨,
90+3', Bondarenko M. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2.

Minsk is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Smorgon's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Minsk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.10.25	ML Vitebsk - Minsk	4:1 ✺
03.10.25	Minsk - Dinamo Brest	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Minsk	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Minsk - Slutsk	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LWTWW
- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.10.25	Smorgon - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
05.10.25	Slavia Mozyr - Smorgon	3:1 ✺
28.09.25	Smorgon - Neman Grodno	1:0 ✺
24.09.25	Smorgon - Dinamo Minsk	1:2 ✺
19.09.25	Torpedo-BelAZ - Smorgon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 50.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.06.25	Smorgon - Minsk	0:2
18.08.24	Smorgon - Minsk	1:1
05.04.24	Minsk - Smorgon	2:3
05.11.23	Smorgon - Minsk	0:0
10.06.23	Minsk - Smorgon	2:1
28.11.21	Smorgon - Minsk	1:0
02.07.21	Minsk - Smorgon	2:2

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