Match Info

URUGUAY: SEGUNDA DIVISION - ROUND 5

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	Miramar Misiones		Bella Vista

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.4	4.3	6.5
	1.4	4.2	5.8
	1.42	3.75	7
	1.42	4.2	6.95	Watch
	1.42	4.3	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	4.16 ↑ (3.66)	6.33 ↑ (5.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
63.9%

Draw
21.8%

Bella Vista
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

24.9%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

24.6%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miramar Misiones's performance.

Bella Vista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miramar Misiones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bella Vista than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	9.1%	54.5%

Miramar Misiones - Bella Vista Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Miramar Misiones will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Bella Vista will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bella Vista: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 14).

Miramar Misiones is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bella Vista has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bella Vista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Miramar Misiones is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Miramar Misiones won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.05.23	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	2:0 ✺
20.05.23	Miramar Misiones - Tacuarembó	3:2 ✺
13.05.23	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWTWW
- CA Bella Vista
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.05.23	Bella Vista - Progreso	0:1 ✺
21.05.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Bella Vista	1:0 ✺
14.05.23	Bella Vista - Albion Montevideo	1:5 ✺
06.05.23	Sud América - Bella Vista	1:0 ✺
23.04.23	Rentistas - Bella Vista	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
05.03.23	Bella Vista - Miramar Misiones	1:1

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