Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 6

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Uruguay Montevideo		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.90	2.75
	2.43	2.95	2.75
	2.47	3.15	2.95
	2.59	2.97	2.89	Watch
	2.40	2.90	2.80
	2.46	3.24	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.38)	3.02 ↓ (3.05)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Uruguay Montevideo
37.3%

Draw
30.3%

Miramar Misiones
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

29.5%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

30.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Uruguay Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Uruguay Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
40', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 🟥,
87', 0 - 3, ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 7).

Recent form of Uruguay Montevideo has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Miramar Misiones has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uruguay Montevideo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Uruguay Montevideo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25
14	Uruguay Montevideo	21	4	5	12	19:31	-12	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Uruguay Montevideo
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.06.26	Tacuarembó - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Plaza Colonia	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	La Luz - Uruguay Montevideo	2:0 ✺
16.05.26	Uruguay Montevideo - Cerrito	2:2 ✺
08.05.26	Atenas de San Carlos - Uruguay Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTL
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
07.06.26	Miramar Misiones - Oriental de La Paz	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Colón Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
25.05.26	Miramar Misiones - Atletico Fenix Montevideo	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.08.23	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:1
06.05.23	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:2
28.08.22	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	0:0
04.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:1
25.03.22	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:3

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