Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 2

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Complejo Rentistas (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Rentistas		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.1	3.7
	1.88	3.1	3.85
	1.88	3.21	4.11
	1.95	3.18	4.13	Watch
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.87	3.16	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.98)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	3.95 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rentistas
47.9%

Draw
29.1%

Miramar Misiones
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

29.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.8%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rentistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rentistas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	75%	0%

Rentistas - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rentistas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Mallet N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Rentistas is considered a favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rentistas won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rentistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Rentistas	21	9	6	6	26:23	3	33
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 3.99 are the expected chance of winning is 23.24%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Rentistas
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.05.26	Tacuarembó - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
20.04.26	Rentistas - Oriental de La Paz	1:2 ✺
10.04.26	Paysandú - Rentistas	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Colón Montevideo - Rentistas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TTLWW
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
10.05.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Miramar Misiones - River Plate Montevideo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
29.04.26	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:1
15.10.23	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	0:0
27.05.23	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	2:0
09.04.23	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	2:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.02.14	Rentistas - Miramar Misiones	1:3
08.09.13	Miramar Misiones - Rentistas	1:1

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