Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 8

Date: 27 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Centenario (Montevideo)

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Cerro

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.55	Watch
	2.87	2.7	2.65
	2.9	2.8	2.65	Watch
	2.96	2.79	2.71	Watch
	2.62	2.8	2.9
	2.94	2.82	2.67	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.66)	2.83 ↑ (2.76)	2.68 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
32.5%

Draw
32.8%

Cerro
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

33.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

33.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Cerro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Miramar Misiones - Cerro Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Miramar Misiones will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giossa L. (G) 2. Siri E. 29. Ayala J. 3. Diana S. 16. Gomez M. 14. Pereira G. (C) 32. Fernandez M. 11. Sosa A. 24. Silvera F. 21. Rodriguez A. 25. Olivera D.	1. Cubero M. (G) 24. Haller R. 5. Villar M. 16. Abero M. (C) 15. Cuello E. 4. Alvarez E. 32. Caceres S. 6. Frugone A. 14. Benitez B. 9. Larrosa E. 28. Alonso M.
Substitutes
9. Douglas J. 18. Hurtado B. 4. Lopez P. 30. Moreno J. 23. Nunez D. 8. Pandiani A. 10. Ramirez G. 5. Sosa E. 20. Viana L. 7. Yepez I.	22. Acosta F. 20. Aires A. 10. Almeida E. 27. Camacho S. 29. Da Silveira P. 25. Larrea K. (G) 8. Miranda A. 17. Silvestre F. 19. Techera F. 3. Vidal F.
Coaches
Peralta H.	Silva T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Pereira G. 🟨,
34', Cuello E. 🟨,
37', Caceres S. 🟨,
45+1', Villar M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Frugone A. ↓, Techera F. ↑,
59', Larrosa E. 🟨,
64', Haller R. ↓, Almeida E. ↑,
64', Caceres S. ↓, Miranda A. ↑,
65', Fernandez M. ↓, Hurtado B. ↑,
68', Siri E. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
68', Rodriguez A. ↓, Nunez D. ↑,
69', 1 - 0, Hurtado B. ⚽,
74', 1 - 1, Techera F. ⚽,
77', Larrosa E. ↓, Camacho S. ↑,
87', Benitez B. ↓, Aires A. ↑,
89', Olivera D. ↓, Yepez I. ↑,
89', Silvera F. ↓, Pandiani A. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Miramar Misiones won 3.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Miramar Misiones won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:10 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Miramar Misiones won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	1:2 ✺
15.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Cerro Largo - Miramar Misiones	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Miramar Misiones - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWLL
- CA Cerro
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.03.25	Cerro - Danubio	1:1 ✺
17.03.25	Cerro Largo - Cerro	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Cerro	2:1 ✺
14.02.25	Cerro - Plaza Colonia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
05.10.24	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	0:1
14.06.24	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	1:0
31.03.24	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	2:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
08.10.22	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	1:3
01.10.22	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	0:2
14.08.22	Miramar Misiones - Cerro	4:1
20.05.22	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	2:1

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