Match Info

URUGUAY: Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera (Montevideo)

Referee: Martinez A. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
Uruguay	VTV+
World	Disney+


	Montevideo Wanderers		Miramar Misiones

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.14	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.25	3.01	3.59
	2.15	3.16	3.52	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.11	3.26	3.46	Watch
	2.14	3.1	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.03)	3.13 ↑ (3.08)	3.43 ↓ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Uruguayan Primera Division with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: GolTV (English)

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Current Win Probability

Montevideo Wanderers
43.3%

Draw
29.6%

Miramar Misiones
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

30.1%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

26.7%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montevideo Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Silveira M. (G) 22. Figueredo S. 14. Acosta M. 3. Borthagaray G. 6. Zazpe L. 20. Lima P. 8. Veglio B. 11. Ferreira Berrondo M. N. 7. Rivero R. 27. Teuten A. 29. Crucci E.	1. Giossa L. (G) 19. Olivera A. 29. Ayala J. 3. Diana S. 6. Corbo S. 14. Pereira G. 32. Fernandez M. 11. Sosa A. 25. Olivera D. 31. Da Silva S. 24. Silvera F.
Substitutes
13. Aguirregaray M. 31. Amaral R. 18. Cerro F. 25. da Silva J. (G) 9. Franco C. 23. Garcia E. 30. Rodriguez J. 17. Suarez M. 10. Viudez T. 19. Zeballos J.	9. Douglas J. 16. Gomez M. 18. Hurtado B. 4. Lopez P. 27. Lopez S. 30. Moreno J. 10. Ramirez G. 21. Rodriguez A. 23. Siri E. 7. Yepez I.
Coaches
Pacheco A.	Peralta H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Crucci E. ↓, Zeballos J. ↑,
45+1', Lima P. ↓, Cerro F. ↑,
45+6', Acosta M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Da Silva S. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Rodriguez A. (Pen),
59', Borthagaray G. 🟥,
70', 1 - 1, Rivero R. (Pen),
71', Giossa L. 🟨,
76', Fernandez M. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
79', Corbo S. ↓, Gomez M. ↑,
81', Rivero R. ↓, Viudez T. ↑,
81', Ferreira Berrondo M. N. ↓, Franco C. ↑,
88', Pereira G. 🟨,
89', Olivera D. ↓, Douglas J. ↑,
90', Sosa A. ↓, Lopez P. ↑,
90', Douglas J. 🟨,
90+3', Diana S. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 2, Ramirez G. ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14).

Recent matches Wanderers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miramar Misiones is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Miramar Misiones could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Wanderers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 2.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Wanderers won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:2 (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division
16.03.25	Danubio - Montevideo Wanderers	2:2 ✺
10.03.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro Largo	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Racing Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 penalties ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
23.02.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Montevideo Wanderers	1:0 ✺
14.02.25	Montevideo Wanderers - Liverpool Montevideo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TWLLT
- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Primera Division
15.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Progreso	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Miramar Misiones - Danubio	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Cerro Largo - Miramar Misiones	3:2 ✺
16.02.25	Miramar Misiones - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Liverpool Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
26.11.24	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	2:0
25.05.24	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	2:0
Uruguay Copa
30.10.23	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	0:1 penalties
Uruguayan Primera Division
13.04.14	Miramar Misiones - Montevideo Wanderers	0:5
09.11.13	Montevideo Wanderers - Miramar Misiones	4:2

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