The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cerro 31.8%
Draw 31.6%
Juventud de Las Piedras 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
30.8%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.2%
29.9%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cerro's form might have worsened.
Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juventud de Las Piedras's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cerro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juventud de Las Piedras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
57.1%
28.6%
Cerro - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Cerro will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Juventud will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Juventud (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventud (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 16. Guasone J. 5. Macelli A. 17. Rodriguez G. 22. Suarez D. 6. Bregante F. 31. Amaro J. 32. Mederos R. 27. Barros C. 28. Cambon A. 29. Paiva S.
12. Rossi N. (G) 14. Roldan L. 4. Caceres M. 28. Risso F. 23. Mas E. (C) 37. Peralta R. 19. Cecchini E. 30. Gomez G. 15. Cruz A. 7. Alaniz A. 10. Larregui B.
Substitutes
10. Aleman B. 4. Arguello M. 40. Capdevila D. (G) 44. Carlos R. 3. Lima A. 21. Mendez A. 9. Morales B. 35. Nongoy P. 13. Quinteros 33. Rijo T.
27. Boselli J. 33. Idiarte M. (G) 8. Izaguirre M. 11. Lago P. 80. Mimbacas F. 5. Morosini D. 25. Mujica I. 26. Pereiro G. 21. Perez F. 16. Rabino R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Guasone J. 🟨,
19', Cecchini E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Suarez D. ↓, Arguello M. ↑,
53', Alaniz A. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
60', Mederos R. ↓, Aleman B. ↑,
60', Cambon A. ↓, Morales B. ↑,
61', Cecchini E. ↓, Izaguirre M. ↑,
61', Gomez G. ↓, Lago P. ↑,
67', Bregante F. ↓, Lima A. ↑,
72', Caceres M. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Lima A. ⚽,
76', Paiva S. ↓, Nongoy P. ↑,
77', Cruz A. ↓, Mimbacas F. ↑,
77', Mas E. ↓, Rabino R. ↑,
79', Barros C. 🟨,
83', Correa Gonzalez F. N. 🟨,
90+1', Pereiro G. 🟨,
90+5', Arguello M. 🟨,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 1.
The current form of both teams is below expectations.
Juventud may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cerro won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.8:1.4).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Juventud
9
3
5
1
10:6
4
14
8
CA Cerro
9
4
2
3
9:11
-2
14
Last Results with these Odds
Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 30.24%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Ecuador
Mexico
Peru
Uruguay
Venezuela
Watch
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Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 
Guasone J. 
Quinteros 
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