Match Info

Segunda Division - Round 21

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Palermo (Montevideo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Miramar Misiones		Paysandú

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.00	2.45
	2.55	2.92	2.55
	2.71	3.02	2.6
	2.7	3.12	2.65	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.5
	2.65	3.47	2.58
	2.6	2.95	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↑ (2.48)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	2.55 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
34.6%

Draw
29.8%

Paysandú
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

29.3%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Paysandú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandú than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Miramar Misiones - Paysandú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', (Penalty Awarded),
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 13th and 10th).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Miramar Misiones has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Standings

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Paysandu FC	21	7	4	10	26:28	-2	25
12	Miramar	21	6	7	8	23:26	-3	25

Last Results with these Odds

Miramar Misiones - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.14%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.09.26	Huracán Paso de la Arena - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Uruguay Montevideo	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Oriental de La Paz - Miramar Misiones	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Miramar Misiones - Colón Montevideo	0:1 ✺
30.08.26	Atletico Fenix Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LWWLT
- Paysandú FC
Uruguayan Segunda Division
28.09.26	Paysandú - Tacuarembó	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Plaza Colonia - Paysandú	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Paysandú - La Luz	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Cerrito - Paysandú	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Paysandú - Atenas de San Carlos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Segunda Division
27.06.26	Paysandú - Miramar Misiones	2:3

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