Match Info

Date: 12 June 2022, Sunday


	Miramar Misiones		Villa Española

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.75
	2.55	3	2.6
	2.36	3.15	2.7
	2.44	3.32	2.73
	2.5	3	2.62
	2.43	3.24	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (3.08)	3.14 ↑ (2.94)	2.69 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miramar Misiones
37.2%

Draw
29%

Villa Española
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30.4%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

30%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miramar Misiones has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miramar Misiones's performance.

Villa Española has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa Española might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miramar Misiones than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miramar Misiones that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Española than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa Española could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	30.8%	38.5%

Miramar Misiones - Villa Española Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Miramar Misiones will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Villa Española will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Villa Española: 12% – 65%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Miramar Misiones is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Villa Española is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Villa Española could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miramar Misiones
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.22	Uruguay Montevideo - Miramar Misiones	3:1 ✺
29.05.22	Central Español - Miramar Misiones	1:1 ✺
25.05.22	Miramar Misiones - Sud América	3:0 ✺
20.05.22	Cerro - Miramar Misiones	2:1 ✺
15.05.22	Miramar Misiones - Atenas de San Carlos	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLL
- CSD Villa Española
Uruguayan Segunda Division
04.06.22	Villa Española - Central Español	2:1 ✺
28.05.22	Sud América - Villa Española	2:0 ✺
24.05.22	Villa Española - Cerro	0:1 ✺
20.05.22	Atenas de San Carlos - Villa Española	2:3 ✺
15.05.22	Villa Española - La Luz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WLLWT

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