The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirandés 32.3%
Draw 29.9%
Girona 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
31%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
22.6%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirandés's form might have worsened.
Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Girona's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+21.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-16.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Girona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mirandés - Girona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Mirandés has the most likely position - 20 (7.12%), has project points - 52, has currently - 14, has a chance of relegated (25%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Girona has the most likely position - 8 (5.98%), has project points - 58, has currently - 8, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Recent matches Mirandés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Girona is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 11-25.
Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-10.