Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 10

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	Viaplay
World	Setanta Sports Eurasia


	Girona		Almería

	1	X	2
	1.4	5	7	Watch
	1.4	5	7
	1.42	5	7.5	Watch
	1.42	5.3	7.4
	1.42	5.26	7.4
	1.36	5	7.5
	1.4	5.05	7.6	Watch
	1.42	5.2	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.52)	5.1 ↑ (4.49)	7.28 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Girona
68.1%

Draw
18.8%

Almería
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

21%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Girona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Girona's performance.

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Girona than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.7%	4.6%	4.6%

Girona - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: Girona will win (98 of 108 users predict this - 90.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.27% – 96.21%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Gazzaniga P. (G) 25. Garcia E. 5. Lopez D. 17. Blind D. 20. Couto Y. 21. Herrera Y. 14. Garcia A. (C) 3. Gutierrez M. 23. Martin I. 16. Savio 9. Dovbyk A.	13. Martinez F. (G) 17. Pozo A. 22. Montes C. 2. Kaiky 20. Centelles A. 4. Baba I. 6. Lopy D. 19. Arribas S. 5. Robertone L. (C) 10. Embarba A. 12. Leo Baptistao
Substitutes
26. Fuidias T. (G) 15. Juanpe 6. Kebe I. 4. Martinez A. 24. Portu 22. Solis Romero J. E. 7. Stuani C. 18. Torre P. 11. Valery	21. Chumi 14. Lazaro 1. Marino D. (G) 25. Maximiano L. (G) 11. Melero G. 29. Milovanovic M. 8. Puigmal A. 7. Ramazani L. 34. Sanca M.
Coaches
Michel	Lasarte A.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Girona won 2.

Girona is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Almería is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Girona is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Girona: Artero R. (Injury) Garcia B. (Injury) Jastin A. (Ankle Injury) Roca J. (Knee Injury) Villa T. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Pubill M. (Injury) Suarez L. (Broken calfbone) Svidersky M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Girona: Bernardo (Muscle Injury) Juan Carlos (Face Injury) Tsygankov V. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Akieme S. (Muscle Injury) Gonzalez E. (Head Injury) Melero G. (Muscle Injury) Mendes H. (Ankle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Girona to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Girona won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Girona won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girona FC
Spanish LaLiga
07.10.23	Cádiz - Girona	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Girona - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
27.09.23	Villarreal - Girona	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Girona - Mallorca	5:3 ✺
18.09.23	Granada - Girona	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLWWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
06.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Almería - Granada	3:3 ✺
26.09.23	Sevilla - Almería	5:1 ✺
23.09.23	Almería - Valencia	2:2 ✺
17.09.23	Villarreal - Almería	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.02.23	Girona - Almería	6:2
20.10.22	Almería - Girona	3:2
Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.22	Almería - Girona	0:1
04.10.21	Girona - Almería	1:2
05.06.21	Almería - Girona	0:0
02.06.21	Girona - Almería	3:0
07.03.21	Girona - Almería	0:1

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