Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 23

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)


	Mirandés		Lugo

	1	X	2
	1.91	3	5	Watch
	1.9	3	4.2
	1.9	3	4.9
	1.9	3.05	4.4
	1.96	3.09	4.95
	1.9	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.92	3.05	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.07)	3.04 ↑ (3.04)	4.67 ↑ (3.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
49.1%

Draw
30.9%

Lugo
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

30.6%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

29.9%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.1%	9.7%	3.2%

Mirandés - Lugo Predictions

Users Predictions: Mirandés will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Mirandés has the most likely position - 17 (8.54%), has project points - 52, has currently - 27, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (6%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lugo has the most likely position - 21 (20.92%), has project points - 43, has currently - 21, has a good chance of relegated (66%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 27, importance 47, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 2.

Recent matches Mirandés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lugo is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lugo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Mirandés have a series of guest games.

In this match Mirandés is a favorite.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
08.01.23	Zaragoza - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
20.12.22	Intercity - Mirandés	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Mirandés - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
11.12.22	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Leganés - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TLWWT
- CD Lugo
Spanish LaLiga2
06.01.23	Leganés - Lugo	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.22	Ferrol - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Lugo - Granada	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Ponferradina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Lugo - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.10.22	Lugo - Mirandés	0:0
09.01.22	Lugo - Mirandés	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Lugo - Mirandés	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
03.11.21	Mirandés - Lugo	3:2
15.05.21	Lugo - Mirandés	2:1
05.12.20	Mirandés - Lugo	0:0
20.07.20	Lugo - Mirandés	2:1

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