Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 21

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Anduva (Miranda de Ebro)

Referee: Caparros I. (Esp)


	Mirandés		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	4	Watch
	2	3.2	3.5
	2.1	3.15	3.7
	2.03	3.25	3.6
	2.09	3.32	3.92
	2.05	3.2	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.34	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (2)	3.25 (3.25)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mirandés
45.8%

Draw
28.9%

Ponferradina
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.5%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
51.9%	37%	11.1%

Mirandés - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 14 - 51.9%). Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 37%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mirandés: 33.1% – 70.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 18).

Mirandés has the most likely position - 17 (9.02%), has project points - 51, has currently - 23, has a chance of relegated (22%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (12.41%), has project points - 46, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 29, importance 47, match rating 38. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 1.

Mirandés is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mirandés will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 13-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.22	Racing Santander - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
06.12.22	Leganés - Mirandés	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	4:2 ✺
26.11.22	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	1:0 ✺
21.11.22	Mirandés - Cartagena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWLW
- SD Ponferradina
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Ponferradina - Atlético Madrid	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.12.22	Ponferradina - Lugo	1:0 ✺
08.12.22	Levante - Ponferradina	0:0 ✺
05.12.22	Ponferradina - Burgos	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Málaga - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.03.22	Mirandés - Ponferradina	3:1
05.12.21	Ponferradina - Mirandés	2:1
19.02.21	Ponferradina - Mirandés	1:0
03.10.20	Mirandés - Ponferradina	0:1
21.06.20	Mirandés - Ponferradina	1:2
05.10.19	Ponferradina - Mirandés	2:0
09.04.16	Mirandés - Ponferradina	1:0

Upcoming Matches