Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 19

Date: 8 December 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)


	Levante		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7.5	Watch
	1.39	4.5	6.75
	1.37	4.6	8
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.43	4.76	7.8
	1.4	4.33	8	Watch
	1.4	4.65	7.6	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.56 ↑ (4.17)	7.46 ↑ (6.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
66.9%

Draw
20.6%

Ponferradina
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

22.1%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	3.8%	11.5%

Levante - Ponferradina Predictions

Users Predictions: Levante will win (66 of 78 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.61% – 92.63%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Levante has the most likely position - 1 (20.25%), has project points - 70, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (39%), has a chance of promoted (47%), has a chance of win league (20%).

Ponferradina has the most likely position - 21 (15.14%), has project points - 44, has currently - 17, has a good chance of relegated (53%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 33, importance 51, match rating 42. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Levante is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Levante is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Levante to win the game is with odds 1.44.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
04.12.22	Levante - Málaga	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Lugo - Levante	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Levante - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Olot - Levante	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
06.11.22	Albacete Balompié - Levante	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2
05.12.22	Ponferradina - Burgos	1:2 ✺
26.11.22	Málaga - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
19.11.22	Ponferradina - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	CD Guadalajara - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.22	Leganés - Ponferradina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

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