Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 38

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Ibercaja Estadio (Zaragoza)

Referee: Perez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Greece	Nova Sports Start
India	FanCode, FanCode
Laos	beIN Connect
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 4
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	Aragon TV, DAZN Espana, Gol Play, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Zaragoza		Granada

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	4	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	1.95	3.25	3.75	Watch
	2.05	3.4	4.11
	1.98	3.22	4.24	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.9
	2.03	3.3	3.87	Watch
	2.33	3.2	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.28)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	3.78 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Zaragoza
46%

Draw
29.1%

Granada
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

29.3%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

28.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zaragoza's performance.

Granada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Granada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	31.2%	18.7%

Zaragoza - Granada Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Zaragoza will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Granada will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zaragoza: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rodriguez A. (G) 20. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Insua P. 18. El Yamiq J. 27. Larios J. 11. Gonzalez R. 14. Francho (C) 33. Saidu Y. 17. Moyano F. 19. Kodro K. 9. Gomez D.	13. Astralaga A. (G) 18. Lemos A. 17. Diaby B. 24. Williams L. 22. Diallo B. 8. Aleman P. 4. Alcaraz R. 14. Trigueros M. (C) 21. Saenz P. 19. Pascual J. 11. Arnaiz J. M.
Substitutes
23. Cuenca M. A. 25. Cumic N. 36. Gomes A. 10. Guti R. 26. Mensah M. 8. Moya T. 35. Obon (G) 31. Pinilla H. 15. Pomares C. 16. Radovanovic A. 2. Sebastian J. 7. Soberon M.	2. Casadesus P. 40. Diocou B. 34. Garcia I. (G) 41. Gonzalez I. 3. Hormigo D. 36. Juanjo 28. Naasei O. 9. Petit G. 26. Rodelas S. 20. Ruiz S. 7. Sola A. 37. Zinebi R.
Coaches
Navarro D.	Rojo Martin J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Trigueros M. 🟨,
32', Aguirregabiria M. 🟨,
45', Pacheta 🟨,
45+3', Williams L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Alcaraz R. 🟨,
59', Saidu Y. 🟨,
62', Lemos A. 🟨,
65', Trigueros M. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
65', Lemos A. ↓, Casadesus P. ↑,
71', Saidu Y. ↓, Mensah M. ↑,
71', Moyano F. ↓, Guti R. ↑,
71', Kodro K. ↓, Cuenca M. A. ↑,
77', Arnaiz J. M. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
85', Insua P. 🟨,
86', Francho ↓, Pinilla H. ↑,
90', Aleman P. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
90+1', Sola A. 🟨,
90+4', Pascual J. 🟥,
90+8', 0 - 1, Sola A. ⚽, Saenz P. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Zaragoza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Zaragoza: Akouokou P. (Inactive) Andrada E. (Red Card) Bare K. (Inactive) Carbonell L. (Knee Injury) Gomes A. (Inactive) Tachi (Knee Injury) Tasende D. (Red Card) Valery (Shoulder Injury) de la Fuente P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Granada: Lama M. (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Zaragoza won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Zaragoza won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Granada CF	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11

Last Results with these Odds

Zaragoza - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.46%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Granada - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.25%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.26	Huesca - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Zaragoza - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Córdoba - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Zaragoza - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
02.04.26	Leganés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLLT
- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga2
26.04.26	Granada - Almería	2:4 ✺
19.04.26	Albacete Balompié - Granada	4:1 ✺
12.04.26	Granada - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Castellón - Granada	3:2 ✺
02.04.26	Las Palmas - Granada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.25	Granada - Zaragoza	3:1
22.02.25	Granada - Zaragoza	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.24	Zaragoza - Granada	2:3 penalties
Spanish LaLiga2
02.11.24	Zaragoza - Granada	2:1
08.04.23	Zaragoza - Granada	1:0
21.10.22	Granada - Zaragoza	1:0
10.03.19	Granada - Zaragoza	1:0

Upcoming Matches