Match Info

Date: 5 January 2022, Wednesday


	Mirandés		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	4	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.75	3.2	1.88	Watch
	4.1	3.3	1.97
	3.9	3.2	1.89
	4.37	3.48	1.95
	3.7	3.2	1.95
	4.2	3.48	1.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.04)	3.34 ↑ (3.12)	1.93 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
23.4%

Draw
28.1%

Rayo Vallecano
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

29.6%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

20.1%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirandés's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+21.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirandés, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-21.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	15.6%	65.6%

Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Mirandés will win (votes: 12 - 18.8%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 42 - 65.6%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 15.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 54% – 77.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Rayo Vallecano will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Mirandés won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Mirandés won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.01.22	Mirandés - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
19.12.21	Cartagena - Mirandés	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.21	Lugo - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.21	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Ponferradina - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLWWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.22	Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
18.12.21	Rayo Vallecano - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Bergantiños - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.12.21	Villarreal - Rayo Vallecano	2:0 ✺
05.12.21	Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.21	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	0:1
19.01.21	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	0:2
02.02.20	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
17.08.19	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	2:2
19.02.17	Rayo Vallecano - Mirandés	1:2
18.09.16	Mirandés - Rayo Vallecano	2:1

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