Match Info

Date: 4 March 2020, Wednesday


	Mirandés		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.65	Watch
	4.75	4.2	1.67	Watch
	4.55	4.18	1.69	Watch
	4.43	3.79	1.64
	4.59	4.17	1.69
	4.75	4.2	1.65
	4.8	4.33	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↑ (4.07)	4.15 ↑ (4.1)	1.67 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandés
20.4%

Draw
22.9%

Real Sociedad
56.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

23%

53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

18.6%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.8%	5.7%	84.6%

Mirandés - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (104 of 123 users predict this - 84.55%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.16% – 90.94%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.03.20	Mirandés - Girona	1:1 ✺
23.02.20	Extremadura UD - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
19.02.20	Mirandés - Zaragoza	1:1 ✺
16.02.20	Mirandés - Albacete Balompié	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.02.20	Real Sociedad - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLTTL
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
28.02.20	Real Sociedad - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
23.02.20	Real Sociedad - Vida	1:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
22.02.20	Real Sociedad - Valencia	3:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.02.20	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.02.20	Real Sociedad - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
13.02.20	Real Sociedad - Mirandés	2:1

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