Match Info

LaLiga - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Anoeta (San Sebastian)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	ESPN 5
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 5
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
France	beIN Connect
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, SCTV
Iraq	Almanasa
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Paraguay	ESPN 5
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 5
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga 2, M+ LaLiga, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 12
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV Online


	Real Sociedad		Valencia

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.4	3.3
	2.28	3.35	3.15	Watch
	2.33	3.5	3.31
	2.33	3.44	3.05	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.1
	2.34	3.46	3.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.02)	3.37 ↓ (3.63)	3.22 ↓ (3.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
42.1%

Draw
28.3%

Valencia
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.5%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Valencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valencia than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.4%	50%	15.6%

Real Sociedad - Valencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 10 - 32.3%). Valencia will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 51.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34% – 69.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Valencia (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 25%). Valencia (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Remiro A. (G) 6. Elustondo A. (C) 31. Martin J. 5. Zubeldia I. 3. Munoz A. 15. Marin P. 18. Soler C. 8. Turrientes B. 21. Zakharyan A. 23. Mendez B. 9. Oskarsson O.	1. Dimitrievski S. (G) 4. Nunez U. 5. Tarrega C. (C) 24. Comert E. 21. Vazquez J. 11. Rioja L. 23. Ugrinic F. 2. Rodriguez G. 16. Lopez D. 8. Guerra J. 9. Duro H.
Substitutes
46. Aguirre I. 2. Aramburu J. 38. Beitia L. 42. Carrera G. 17. Gomez S. 11. Guedes G. 12. Herrera Y. 14. Kubo T. 13. Marrero U. (G) 10. Oyarzabal M. 24. Sucic L. 22. Wesley	25. Agirrezabala J. (G) 10. Almeida A. 7. Danjuma A. 36. Navarro M. 27. Otorbi D. 18. Pepelu 19. Raba D. 17. Ramazani L. 12. Rendall T. 26. Rubo 6. Sadiq U. 22. Santamaria B.
Coaches
Matarazzo P.	Corberan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, Elustondo A. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Guerra J. ⚽, Lopez D. (A),
22', 1 - 2, Duro H. ⚽, Comert E. (A),
25', Zakharyan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', Munoz A. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
58', Zakharyan A. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
58', Mendez B. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Tarrega C. (Own goal),
63', 3 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Oyarzabal M. (A),
70', Comert E. 🟥,
74', Duro H. ↓, Sadiq U. ↑,
74', Ugrinic F. ↓, Rendall T. ↑,
74', Rioja L. ↓, Ramazani L. ↑,
74', Lopez D. ↓, Pepelu ↑,
79', Oskarsson O. ↓, Guedes G. ↑,
83', Nunez U. ↓, Almeida A. ↑,
84', Elustondo A. ↓, Aramburu J. ↑,
86', Turrientes B. 🟨,
88', Zubeldia I. 🟨,
88', Martin J. 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Rodriguez G. ⚽, Almeida A. (A),
90+3', 3 - 4, Guerra J. ⚽, Rendall T. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 11).

Real Sociedad is Qualified for Europa League (League phase )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 3.

Real Sociedad is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Valencia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Real Sociedad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Barrenetxea A. (Yellow Cards) Caleta-Car D. (Yellow Cards) Gorrotxategi J. (Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Coach's decision) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Valencia: Copete J. (Ankle Injury) Diakhaby M. (Muscle Injury) Foulquier D. (Knee Injury) Gaya J. (Muscle Injury) Renzo Saravia (Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Beitia L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Valencia: Beltran L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Sociedad won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Sociedad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Real Sociedad: 0.42% Valencia: 0.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9:13	-4	10
20	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4:13	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Valencia - the odds 3.56 are the expected chance of winning is 26.72%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.26	Girona - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Real Sociedad - Betis	2:2 ✺
04.05.26	Sevilla - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	3:3 ✺
22.04.26	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTL
- CF Valencia
Spanish LaLiga
14.05.26	Valencia - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Athletic Bilbao - Valencia	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Valencia - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
25.04.26	Valencia - Girona	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	Mallorca - Valencia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
16.08.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:1
19.01.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:0
28.09.24	Real Sociedad - Valencia	3:0
16.05.24	Real Sociedad - Valencia	1:0
27.09.23	Valencia - Real Sociedad	0:1
25.02.23	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:0
06.11.22	Real Sociedad - Valencia	1:1

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