Match Info

Date: 14 November 2020, Saturday


	Honduras Progreso		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.64	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 (2.12)	3.64 (3.64)	2.98 (2.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Honduras Progreso
43.6%

Draw
25.4%

Real Sociedad
31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

17.9%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Honduras Progreso have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Real Sociedad have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honduras Progreso than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Honduras Progreso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Sociedad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Honduras Progreso is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Sociedad is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Honduras Progreso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Real Sociedad have a series of home games.

Honduras Progreso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 22 head-to-head matches Honduras Progreso won 10 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Honduras Progreso won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Honduras Progreso
Honduras Liga Nacional
31.10.20	Honduras Progreso - Platense	1:1 ✺
28.10.20	Honduras Progreso - Real España	0:3 ✺
25.10.20	Vida - Honduras Progreso	4:1
18.10.20	Honduras Progreso - Lobos UPNFM	2:3 ✺
15.10.20	Platense - Honduras Progreso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLLLT
- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
08.11.20	Real Sociedad - Granada	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
05.11.20	Real Sociedad - AZ Alkmaar	1:0 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
01.11.20	Real Sociedad - Vida	1:6 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.20	Celta de Vigo - Real Sociedad	1:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.10.20	Real Sociedad - Napoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Honduras Liga Nacional
08.03.20	Real Sociedad - Honduras Progreso	1:1
16.02.20	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad	2:2
19.10.19	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad	0:1
25.08.19	Real Sociedad - Honduras Progreso	0:1
10.03.18	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad	1:0
28.01.18	Real Sociedad - Honduras Progreso	0:1
13.10.17	Honduras Progreso - Real Sociedad	2:2

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