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Current Win Probability
Mito HollyHock 15.6%
Draw 22.2%
Tokyo 62.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
26.9%
26.1%
47%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26%
25.2%
48.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mito HollyHock's form might have worsened.
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tokyo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mito HollyHock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tokyo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.3%
0%
85.7%
Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Slowik J. (G) 16. Tamura Y. 2. Fofana M. 15. Kimoto Y. 3. Osaki K. 39. Yamamoto H. 24. Yamazaki K. 48. Yamashita Y. 14. Arai M. 29. Tada K. 33. Patryck
1. Tanaka H. (G) 15. Omori R. 24. Scholz A. 3. Morishige M. 44. Suzuki K. 71. Yamada F. 8. Ko T. 27. Tokiwa K. 10. Sato K. 99. Gomez D. 39. Nakagawa T.
Substitutes
20. Funabashi Y. 87. Gokita K. 50. Ieizumi R. 17. Itakura K. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 9. Nemoto R. 44. Nishihara M. 30. Okumura J. 53. Yamashita S.
7. Anzai S. 6. Bangnagande K. 58. Goto W. (G) 4. Inamura H. 22. Ishihara H. 9. Marcelo Ryan 26. Nagakura M. 20. Nagano S. 33. Tawaratsumida K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Ko T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kimoto Y. ↓, Ieizumi R. ↑,
49', Tokiwa K. 🟨,
51', 1 - 0, Yamashita Y. ⚽, Patryck (A),
61', Yamada F. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
61', Gomez D. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
61', Patryck ↓, Gokita K. ↑,
69', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
69', Suzuki K. ↓, Bangnagande K. ↑,
70', Arai M. ↓, Nishihara M. ↑,
77', Yamazaki K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
77', Tada K. ↓, Itakura K. ↑,
80', Sato K. ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
90+4', Gokita K. 🟨,
Preview
Mito HollyHock has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Tokyo is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Tokyo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Tokyo for this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Mito HollyHock has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:10 (averaging 1.3:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mito HollyHock against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:2 goals.
Outrights of Japan J League Cup for now
FC Tokyo: 10.71% Mito: 0.5%
Last Results with these Odds
Mito HollyHock - the odds 3.38 are the expected chance of winning is 26.87%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.
Japan
Watch
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Slowik J. (G) 
Tamura Y. 
Patryck 
Scholz A. 
Gomez D. 
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