Match Info

J1 League - Round 8

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Nissan Stadium (Yokohama)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Yokohama F. Marinos		Mito HollyHock

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.80	Watch
	2.10	3.30	3.30
	1.97	3.55	3.35	Watch
	2.20	3.50	3.52
	1.99	3.59	3.69	Watch
	2.15	3.45	3.45
	1.98	3.30	4.07	Watch
	2.11	3.35	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.99)	3.41 ↓ (3.68)	3.58 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yokohama F. Marinos
45.9%

Draw
27.7%

Mito HollyHock
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

25.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

25.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mito HollyHock will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Iikura H. (G) 34. Kimura T. 17. Quinones J. 33. Suwama K. 25. Suzuki T. 28. Yamane R. 14. Chinen K. 24. Kondo T. 41. Matsumura K. 23. Miyaichi R. (C) 9. Tanimura K.	34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. 17. Itakura K. 3. Osaki K. 11. Torikai Y. 20. Funabashi Y. 19. Semba T. 22. Taniguchi K. 18. Uchino K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)
Substitutes
40. Amano J. 11. Croux J. 54. Fujii S. 55. Hirano K. 8. Kida T. 47. Miidera S. 43. Nitta R. 1. Park Il-gyu (G) 35. Sekitomi K.	38. Hugo Leonardo 50. Ieizumi R. 8. Kato C. 4. Kawazura A. 9. Nemoto R. 30. Okumura J. 27. Slowik J. (G) 16. Tamura Y. 39. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Corica S.	Kimori D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Quinones J. ⚽, Matsumura K. (A),
25', Chinen K. 🟨,
25', Kimoto Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Uchino K. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
46', Okumura J. 🟨,
54', Kimoto Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
54', Kondo T. ↓, Miidera S. ↑,
54', Matsumura K. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
66', Watanabe A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
66', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
76', Miyaichi R. ↓, Croux J. ↑,
76', Suzuki T. ↓, Sekitomi K. ↑,
76', Chinen K. ↓, Kida T. ↑,
77', Kida T. 🟨,
81', Funabashi Y. ↓, Hugo Leonardo ↑,
82', Mase T. 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Yamane R. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Yokohama FM could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Yokohama FM holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for Yokohama FM: Blanco R. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury).

Confirmed absences for Mito HollyHock: Fofana M. (Hamstring Injury) Iwasaki H. (Inactive) Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury) Shimatani K. (Back Injury).

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Yokohama FM has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Yokohama FM against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:4 goals (averaging 2:2 per game).

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Yokohama F. Marinos: 3.02% Mito: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Yokohama F. Marinos - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 47.26%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos	0:2 ✺
02.09.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Urawa Red Diamonds - Yokohama F. Marinos	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Vissel Kobe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWTLW
- Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League
12.09.26	Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale	0:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Mito HollyHock	0:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
05.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
02.05.26	Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock	1:2 penalties
18.03.26	Mito HollyHock - Yokohama F. Marinos	1:0
Japan Emperors Cup
10.07.24	Yokohama F. Marinos - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties

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