Match Info

J1 League - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Best Denki Stadium (Mito)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Mito HollyHock		Kawasaki Frontale

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.40	2.20	Watch
	2.90	3.50	2.20
	3.25	3.60	2.00	Watch
	3.45	3.85	2.23
	3.4	3.74	2.04	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.30
	3.22	3.46	2.21	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.86)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	2.18 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is -0.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mito HollyHock
30.1%

Draw
26.4%

Kawasaki Frontale
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

25.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

26.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	60%	40%

Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kawasaki will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Nishikawa K. (G) 25. Mase T. 15. Kimoto Y. 17. Itakura K. 7. Omori S. 11. Torikai Y. 19. Semba T. 3. Osaki K. 22. Taniguchi K. 18. Uchino K. 10. Watanabe A. (C)	49. Brodersen S. (G) 29. Yamahara R. 4. Pedro Romano 3. Taniguchi H. 13. Miura S. 8. Tachibanada K. 6. Yamamoto Y. 17. Ito T. 14. Wakizaka Y. (C) 23. Marcinho 20. Mochiyama K.
Substitutes
20. Funabashi Y. 38. Hugo Leonardo 8. Kato C. 4. Kawazura A. 9. Nemoto R. 30. Okumura J. 27. Slowik J. (G) 16. Tamura Y. 39. Yamamoto H.	19. Kawahara S. 18. Konno K. 34. Osa R. 16. Ozeki Y. 93. Queiroz K. 5. Sasaki A. 1. Thebault-Yamaguchi L. (G) 22. Uremovic F. 25. Yamaichi S.
Coaches
Kimori D.	Hasebe S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Marcinho ⚽,
59', Osaki K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
71', Uchino K. ↓, Kato C. ↑,
72', Taniguchi K. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
72', Torikai Y. ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
76', Ito T. ↓, Konno K. ↑,
76', Taniguchi H. ↓, Uremovic F. ↑,
80', Uremovic F. 🟨,
83', Marcinho ↓, Sasaki A. ↑,
83', Mochiyama K. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
83', Watanabe A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
87', Pedro Romano 🟨,
88', Semba T. 🟨,
90', Pedro Romano ↓, Kawahara S. ↑,

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Kawasaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Iwasaki H. (Inactive) Kamiyama M. (Finger Injury)

There will not play in Kawasaki: Ienaga A. (Calf Injury) Kobayashi Y. (Calf Injury) Miyagi T. (Inactive) Romanic L. (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mito HollyHock won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Outrights of Japan J1 League for now

Kawasaki Frontale: 5.74% Mito: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6
11	Mito	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5

Last Results with these Odds

Mito HollyHock - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.76%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mito HollyHock
Japan J League Cup
09.09.26	Nagano Parceiro - Mito HollyHock	0:1 penalties ✺
Japan J1 League
05.09.26	Avispa Fukuoka - Mito HollyHock	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Mito HollyHock - Kashima Antlers	4:2 ✺
29.08.26	Mito HollyHock - Machida Zelvia	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Kyoto Sanga - Mito HollyHock	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WTWTW
- Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League
06.09.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Shimizu S-Pulse	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Machida Zelvia - Kawasaki Frontale	2:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
26.08.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Tochigi	3:1 ✺
Japan J1 League
22.08.26	Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J1 League
24.05.26	Mito HollyHock - Kawasaki Frontale	1:3
01.03.26	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	3:2 penalties
Japan Emperors Cup
12.07.23	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	2:1
11.07.18	Kawasaki Frontale - Mito HollyHock	2:1 penalties

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