Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 2

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Referee: Aganovic A. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1


	Mjällby		Örgryte

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.25	7.5
	1.35	4.8	8.5	Watch
	1.34	5.49	9.34
	1.35	5.36	7.97	Watch
	1.33	5	7.5
	1.34	5.15	7.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.49)	5.18 ↑ (4.51)	8.11 ↑ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
70.3%

Draw
18.1%

Örgryte
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.3%

20.9%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66%

20%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mjällby's performance.

Örgryte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örgryte than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Mjällby - Örgryte Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Örgryte will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Örgryte: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjällby (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Örgryte (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. 25. Nielsen M. 39. Arrhenius R. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 14. Granath V. 17. Stroud E. 18. Bergstrom J. 19. Manneh A.	44. Gustafsson H. (G) 5. Styffe C. 6. Dyrestam M. 2. Parker M. 24. Svensson W. 23. Parker-Price O. 8. Laturnus B. 19. Andreasson A. (C) 17. Hofvander W. 15. Tibbling J. 22. Sana T.
Substitutes
15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 7. Gustafson V. 8. Helge T. 5. Iqbal A. 29. Lindberg O. 35. Lundin A. (G) 23. Samuelsen A. 6. Thorell L. 27. Tidstrand L.	10. Alm R. 9. Andersson L. 3. Azulay J. 11. Christoffersson N. 16. Dahlqvist H. 25. Hodzic D. 21. Kenndal W. 33. Lagerlund S. 34. Rahm A. (G)
Coaches
Aksum K.	Holmberg A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Parker M. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Andreasson A. ⚽, Sana T. (A),
26', 0 - 2, Tibbling J. ⚽, Dyrestam M. (A),
31', Pettersson T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arrhenius R. ↓, Gustafson V. ↑,
46', Granath V. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
61', Sana T. 🟨,
65', Miettinen T. ↓, Iqbal A. ↑,
70', Sana T. ↓, Alm R. ↑,
75', Hofvander W. 🟨,
77', Tibbling J. ↓, Hodzic D. ↑,
77', Hofvander W. ↓, Christoffersson N. ↑,
79', Nielsen M. ↓, Bang-Kittilsen B. ↑,
85', Samuelsen A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
90+3', Svensson W. ↓, Lagerlund S. ↑,
90+3', Alm R. ↓, Kenndal W. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.

Mjällby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Örgryte's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mjällby is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Örgryte: Abukar A. (Inactive) Nilsson M. (Inactive) Vindehall C. (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Mjallby	23	5	8	10	28:39	-11	23
15	Orgryte	22	3	6	13	25:49	-24	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Swedish Allsvenskan
04.04.26	Hammarby - Mjällby	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Häcken - Mjällby	2:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
22.03.26	Mjällby - GAIS	3:0 ✺
14.03.26	Mjällby - Malmö	4:0 ✺
07.03.26	Mjällby - Värnamo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTWWW
- Örgryte IS
Swedish Allsvenskan
05.04.26	Örgryte - Malmö	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Örgryte - Lillestrøm SK	1:0 ✺
Svenska Cupen
07.03.26	Kalmar - Örgryte	2:2 ✺
27.02.26	Örgryte - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Värnamo - Örgryte	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
27.02.26	Örgryte - Mjällby	0:3
Swedish Superettan
17.08.19	Örgryte - Mjällby	1:1
04.05.19	Mjällby - Örgryte	2:1
11.11.17	Örgryte - Mjällby	3:1 ET
08.11.17	Mjällby - Örgryte	2:1
08.11.15	Mjällby - Örgryte	1:0
05.11.15	Örgryte - Mjällby	1:0

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