Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 14

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Al Fahad A. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	5.75	5	1.41
	5.75	4.6	1.41
	5.9	4.85	1.44	Watch
	6.3	5.09	1.43
	6.13	4.92	1.43	Watch
	6	4.5	1.4
	6.26	4.95	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.01 ↑ (5.85)	4.84 ↑ (4.84)	1.42 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
15.5%

Draw
19.2%

Kongsvinger
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

19.3%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

18.7%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Kongsvinger (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 30. Holst-Larsen F. 27. Kekeli K. 2. Vik I. 3. Molund A. 16. Godwin F. 10. Saetherbo K. 6. Skau J. 28. Sawaneh E. 20. Arierhi K. 7. Reutersward L.	93. Gorodovoy A. (G) 2. Nilsson J. 5. Holme F. 12. Mbow M. 19. Nielsen E. 17. Gjerstrom M. 23. Vinjor M. 27. Dybevik A. 24. Overby A. 9. Haren L. 11. Williams N.
Substitutes
18. Arsbog N. 17. Bata K. 13. Bro P. S. (G) 11. Bruusgaard J. 15. Kvam F. 5. Midtgarden E. 14. Midtgard O. 4. Mrakovic T. 25. Ogboji T.	71. Ekerhaugen S. (G) 13. Flores M. 8. Grundt J. 6. Holter H. 22. Langrekken L. 21. Lysgard D. 20. Sandstad A.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Vennberg J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Nielsen E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Overby A. ↓, Langrekken L. ↑,
46', Vinjor M. ↓, Grundt J. ↑,
56', Arierhi K. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
56', Holst-Larsen F. ↓, Kvam F. ↑,
59', 0 - 1, Haren L. ⚽, Nielsen E. (A),
69', 1 - 1, Midtgard O. ⚽, Kekeli K. (A),
76', Reutersward L. ↓, Bruusgaard J. ↑,
76', Godwin F. ↓, Bata K. ↑,
76', Williams N. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
76', Gjerstrom M. ↓, Holter H. ↑,
82', Skau J. 🟨,
85', Molund A. ↓, Arsbog N. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 0.

Mjøndalen has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kongsvinger is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Kongsvinger is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 32:35. (average 1.6:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Hødd - Mjøndalen	3:1 ✺
23.06.25	Mjøndalen - Skeid	1:4 ✺
18.06.25	Odd - Mjøndalen	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	2:2 ✺
29.05.25	Lyn - Mjøndalen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 LLTTW
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
28.06.25	Kongsvinger - Raufoss	2:2 ✺
21.06.25	Egersund - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
18.06.25	Kongsvinger - Aalesunds	3:0 ✺
14.06.25	Kongsvinger - Sogndal	4:2 ✺
31.05.25	Stabæk - Kongsvinger	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.09.24	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	1:2
22.05.24	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	3:2
Club Friendly
24.03.24	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	1:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.11.23	Mjøndalen - Kongsvinger	2:3
16.04.23	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	2:0
Club Friendly
25.02.23	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	1:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.07.22	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	2:1

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