Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 12

Date: 23 June 2025, Monday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Valen O. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Norway	TV2 Play


	Mjøndalen		Skeid

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.6	2.55	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.55
				Watch
	2.63	3.55	2.61
				Watch
	2.45	3.3	2.5
	2.41	3.6	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)	3.49 ↓ (3.71)	2.57 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
37.3%

Draw
26.6%

Skeid
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

24.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Skeid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skeid than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	9.1%	18.2%

Mjøndalen - Skeid Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mjøndalen will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Skeid will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mjøndalen: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mjøndalen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 26. Eriksen S. 4. Mrakovic T. 2. Vik I. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 17. Bata K. 10. Saetherbo K. 28. Sawaneh E. 6. Skau J. 15. Kvam F. 20. Conteh A.	1. Andersen M. (G) 20. Svenningsen L. 4. Steiring P. 3. Flo F. 11. Bojang S. 15. Hadzic A. 6. Naustdal T. 14. Toure O. 17. Saad Y. 10. Andersen M. 7. Fiksdal J.
Substitutes
23. Agelin T. 11. Bruusgaard J. 16. Godwin F. 14. Midtgard O. 3. Molund A. 7. Reutersward L. 37. Singh B. 1. Solberg K. (G) 8. Willumsen E.	23. Akinyemi A. 9. Delaveris F. 5. Ghaedamini K. 22. Hoyland L. 21. Lindback M. 39. Rise B. 24. Solberg I. (G) 33. Stensland F. 18. Tjostheim E.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Rislaa V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
17', Eriksen S. ↓, Agelin T. ↑,
21', 0 - 1, Andersen M. ⚽, Steiring P. (A),
24', 0 - 2, Fiksdal J. ⚽, Naustdal T. (A),
30', Steiring P. 🟨,
38', Holst-Larsen F. 🟨,
44', 0 - 3, Flo F. ⚽, Naustdal T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bata K. ↓, Godwin F. ↑,
46', Sawaneh E. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
46', Skau J. ↓, Bruusgaard J. ↑,
48', Bojang S. 🟨,
52', 0 - 4, Bojang S. ⚽,
56', Kvam F. 🟨,
63', Andersen M. ↓, Rise B. ↑,
68', 1 - 4, Conteh A. ⚽, Bruusgaard J. (A),
69', Steiring P. ↓, Hoyland L. ↑,
69', Fiksdal J. ↓, Stensland F. ↑,
75', Saetherbo K. ↓, Willumsen E. ↑,
79', Agelin T. 🟨,
80', Hoyland L. 🟨,
84', Bojang S. ↓, Ghaedamini K. ↑,
84', Flo F. ↓, Akinyemi A. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 5.

In recent matches, Mjøndalen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Skeid has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Odd - Mjøndalen	1:1 ✺
15.06.25	Mjøndalen - Moss	2:2 ✺
29.05.25	Lyn - Mjøndalen	1:3 ✺
24.05.25	Mjøndalen - Lillestrøm SK	0:6 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.6 TTWLL
- Skeid Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.06.25	Skeid - Sogndal	1:4 ✺
15.06.25	Åsane - Skeid	2:1 ✺
30.05.25	Skeid - Hødd	1:1 ✺
24.05.25	Moss - Skeid	2:1 ✺
16.05.25	Lyn - Skeid	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
01.02.25	Skeid - Mjøndalen	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
30.09.23	Mjøndalen - Skeid	2:0
21.05.23	Skeid - Mjøndalen	0:2
12.09.22	Mjøndalen - Skeid	1:0
08.05.22	Skeid - Mjøndalen	1:2
Club Friendly
11.03.22	Mjøndalen - Skeid	1:3
08.03.19	Mjøndalen - Skeid	3:1

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