Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 24

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Consto Arena (Mjøndalen)

Referee: Hauge S. (Nor)


	Mjøndalen		Stabæk

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.33	1.6	Watch
	4.85	4.35	1.58	Watch
	5.12	4.58	1.49	Watch
	4.74	4.32	1.6	Watch
	5	4.25	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.89 ↓ (5.12)	4.37 ↓ (4.58)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjøndalen
19.1%

Draw
21.3%

Stabæk
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18%

20.1%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

19.5%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjøndalen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Mjøndalen - Stabæk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stabæk (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stabæk will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
87. Oy L. (G) 21. Ekstrom V. 2. Vik I. 6. Skau J. 3. Molund A. 17. Bata K. 10. Saetherbo K. 28. Sawaneh E. 11. Bruusgaard J. 15. Kvam F. 20. Arierhi K.	24. Sjoeng M. (G) 2. Pedersen K. 14. Nielsen M. 4. Naess N. 28. Isaksen J. 7. Vinge R. E. 27. Danso E. 6. Matic A. 20. Andresen A. 9. Diabate B. 17. Olderheim S.
Substitutes
16. Godwin F. 30. Holst-Larsen F. 27. Kekeli K. 14. Midtgard O. 25. Ogboji T. 40. Pettersson J. (G) 7. Reutersward L. 19. Waehler M. 8. Willumsen E.	29. Ekorness K. 30. Ellegaard F. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 41. Lokkevik K. (G) 26. Nysveen J. 21. Onsrud K. 22. Opseth K. 15. Veum O. 23. Wendt W.
Coaches
Nicol K.	Stahre M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Diabate B. ⚽, Matic A. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Sawaneh E. ⚽, Bruusgaard J. (A),
43', 1 - 2, Olderheim S. ⚽, Vinge R. E. (A),
45+3', Saetherbo K. 🟨,
45+3', Olderheim S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Saetherbo K. ↓, Waehler M. ↑,
46', Ekstrom V. ↓, Holst-Larsen F. ↑,
64', Olderheim S. ↓, Onsrud K. ↑,
68', Bata K. ↓, Godwin F. ↑,
73', Godwin F. 🟨,
74', Kvam F. ↓, Midtgard O. ↑,
78', Diabate B. ↓, Ellegaard F. ↑,
78', Matic A. ↓, Opseth K. ↑,
82', Arierhi K. 🟨,
83', Andresen A. ↓, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↑,
83', Vinge R. E. ↓, Ekorness K. ↑,
85', Arierhi K. ↓, Reutersward L. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Bruusgaard J. ⚽,
90+6', 3 - 2, Holst-Larsen F. ⚽, Skau J. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 1.

Recent form of Mjøndalen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stabæk is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Stabæk is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjøndalen IF
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.25	Mjøndalen - Odd	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Ranheim - Mjøndalen	3:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mjøndalen - Aalesunds	0:6 ✺
04.10.25	Åsane - Mjøndalen	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Lillestrøm SK - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLLWL
- Stabæk Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
25.10.25	Hødd - Stabæk	1:3 ✺
22.10.25	Stabæk - Åsane	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Skeid - Stabæk	0:5 ✺
05.10.25	Stabæk - Odd	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Bjarg - Stabæk	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian NM Cup
20.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:3
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
16.05.25	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:0
02.11.24	Mjøndalen - Stabæk	3:0
12.06.24	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	4:2
29.10.22	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	2:0
03.07.22	Mjøndalen - Stabæk	2:4
Norwegian Eliteserien
21.08.21	Stabæk - Mjøndalen	1:1

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