The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mjøndalen 34.2%
Draw 28.8%
Sandefjord 37%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28%
32.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.1%
19.8%
45.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mjøndalen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mjøndalen's form might have worsened.
Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjøndalen than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjøndalen that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sandefjord could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mjøndalen - Sandefjord Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Eliteserien (Relegation) and 10).
Mjøndalen has the most likely position - 15 (27.24%), has project points - 25, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (63%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Sandefjord has the most likely position - 11 (21.73%), has project points - 36, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (4%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Mjøndalen has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Sandefjord is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 15 head-to-head matches Mjøndalen won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Mjøndalen won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-9.