Match Info

Eliteserien - Round 28

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Jotun Arena (Sandefjord)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play
World	Onefootball


	Sandefjord		Tromsø

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.15	Watch
	2.92	3.65	2.25	Watch
	3.42	3.7	2.2
	3.01	3.78	2.17	Watch
	2.89	3.6	2.36	Watch
	2.55	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 (3.01)	3.58 ↓ (3.78)	2.26 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sandefjord
31.6%

Draw
26.5%

Tromsø
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

25%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

25.2%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sandefjord has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Tromsø has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandefjord than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tromsø than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Sandefjord - Tromsø Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sandefjord will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Tromsø will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tromsø: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tromsø (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Hadaya E. (G) 3. Egeli V. 47. Kristiansen S. 4. Pedersen F. 2. Smajlovic Z. 18. Ottosson F. 14. Pettersen E. 20. Melchior M. 19. Berntsen B. 27. Dunsby J. (C) 24. Mathisen S.	1. Haugaard J. (G) 2. Cornic L. 4. Skjaervik V. 21. Guddal T. 30. Vadebu I. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 20. Edvardsson D. 11. Jenssen R. (C) 6. Hjerto-Dahl J. 9. Ieltsin Camoes 7. Larsen L. O.
Substitutes
17. Cheng C. 13. Eriksson C. (G) 22. Gjone M. 9. Hanstad J. 11. Isufi B. 10. Mettler L. 7. Patoulidis E. 23. Sigurdarson S. I. 5. van der Spa A.	18. Braut D. 15. Erlien V. 23. Husebo J. 37. Innvaer S. 5. Jenssen A. 25. Kinteh A. S. 27. Lauvli O. (G) 17. Mikkelsen A. 14. Prestmo S.
Coaches
Tegstrom A.	Vik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Dunsby J. ↓, Patoulidis E. ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Ottosson F. ⚽,
40', Smajlovic Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
68', Melchior M. ↓, Mettler L. ↑,
68', Berntsen B. ↓, Hanstad J. ↑,
69', Mathisen S. ↓, Sigurdarson S. I. ↑,
74', Ieltsin Camoes ↓, Braut D. ↑,
85', Larsen L. O. ↓, Mikkelsen A. ↑,
85', Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. ↓, Innvaer S. ↑,
90+1', Mettler L. 🟨,
90+1', Hjerto-Dahl J. ↓, Erlien V. ↑,
90+1', Edvardsson D. ↓, Kinteh A. S. ↑,
90+2', Patoulidis E. ↓, Gjone M. ↑,
90+3', Jenssen R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Sandefjord may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sandefjord: Mork S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sandefjord: Loftesnes-Bjune F. (Injury)

There are questionable in Tromsø: Hjerto-Dahl J. (Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sandefjord won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Sandefjord won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sandefjord Fotball
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.11.25	Hamarkameratene - Sandefjord	3:1 ✺
29.10.25	Rosenborg - Sandefjord	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Sandefjord - Fredrikstad	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Molde - Sandefjord	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Sandefjord - Bryne	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LTTWW
- Tromsø IL
Norwegian Eliteserien
02.11.25	Tromsø - Sarpsborg 08	4:0 ✺
26.10.25	Haugesund - Tromsø	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Tromsø - Viking Stavanger	1:3 ✺
04.10.25	Vålerenga - Tromsø	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Tromsø - Strømsgodset	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Eliteserien
04.05.25	Tromsø - Sandefjord	0:1
22.09.24	Tromsø - Sandefjord	3:0
03.07.24	Sandefjord - Tromsø	1:2
20.08.23	Tromsø - Sandefjord	1:0
16.04.23	Sandefjord - Tromsø	0:0
30.07.22	Tromsø - Sandefjord	3:0
26.06.22	Sandefjord - Tromsø	2:2

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