Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lokotrans Arena (Mlada Boleslav) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	06:00	Stan Sport
Czech Republic	21:00	Sport 2
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 12
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	01:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect
Russia	22:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 14, M+ Liga de Campeones 1, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport 5, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 16
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Vietnam	02:00	ON Plus
International	19:00	Disney+


	Mladá Boleslav		Lugano

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	2
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.72	3.5	2.06
	3.57	3.51	2	Watch
	3.6	3.71	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	2.03 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mladá Boleslav
26.5%

Draw
26.9%

Lugano
46.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

29.7%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladá Boleslav's form might have worsened.

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Mladá Boleslav - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Lugano will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 14. Kral T. 17. Suchy M. (C) 3. Kralik M. 31. Kostka D. 5. Sakala B. 66. Vydra P. 10. Ladra T. 11. Fulnek J. 23. Kusej V. 28. Masek L.	1. Saipi A. (G) 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 6. Papadopoulos A. 5. Hajdari A. 26. Marques M. 20. Doumbia O. (C) 8. Grgic A. 25. Bislimi U. 11. Steffen R. 31. Aliseda I. 18. Mahou H.
Substitutes
13. Donat D. 59. Floder J. (G) 32. Jawo L. 26. Kadlec A. 6. Langhamer D. 30. Marecek D. 8. Matejovsky M. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 15. Penner N. 18. Pulkrab M. 12. Stransky V. 9. Vojta M.	29. Belhadj M. 10. Bottani M. 21. Cimignani Y. 27. Dos Santos D. 22. El Wafi A. 17. Mai L. 99. Mina D. (G) 58. Osigwe S. (G) 93. Przybylko K. 9. Vladi S.
Coaches
Brannstrom A.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Sakala B. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
74', Aliseda I. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
75', Mahou H. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
78', Hajdari A. 🟨,
81', Vydra P. (Pen),
84', Fulnek J. ↓, Marecek D. ↑,
84', Grgic A. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
88', Ladra T. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
90+1', Steffen R. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
90+1', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
90+8', Bottani M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kozel D. (Injury)

There will not play in Lugano: Vladi S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lugano: Belhadj M. (Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury) Zanotti M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
20.10.24	Bohemians 1905 - Mladá Boleslav	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Noah Yerevan - Mladá Boleslav	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLTT
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
20.10.24	Yverdon - Lugano	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Zürich - Lugano	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Lugano - HJK	3:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
29.09.24	Lugano - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Sion - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWT

Upcoming Matches