Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 24 October 2024, Thursday

Location: Lokotrans Arena (Mlada Boleslav)

Referee: Theouli C. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	Mladá Boleslav		Lugano

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.4	2
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.5	3.5	2.05	Watch
	3.72	3.5	2.06
	3.57	3.51	2	Watch
	3.6	3.71	2.05
	3.5	3.5	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (2.8)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	2.03 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladá Boleslav
26.5%

Draw
26.9%

Lugano
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

29.1%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

30.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mladá Boleslav's form might have worsened.

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lugano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mladá Boleslav, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	23.1%	61.5%

Mladá Boleslav - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Mladá Boleslav will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Lugano will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lugano: 38.6% – 78%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 14. Kral T. 17. Suchy M. (C) 3. Kralik M. 31. Kostka D. 5. Sakala B. 66. Vydra P. 10. Ladra T. 11. Fulnek J. 23. Kusej V. 28. Masek L.	1. Saipi A. (G) 2. Brault-Guillard Z. 6. Papadopoulos A. 5. Hajdari A. 26. Marques M. 20. Doumbia O. (C) 8. Grgic A. 25. Bislimi U. 11. Steffen R. 31. Aliseda I. 18. Mahou H.
Substitutes
13. Donat D. 59. Floder J. (G) 32. Jawo L. 26. Kadlec A. 6. Langhamer D. 30. Marecek D. 8. Matejovsky M. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 15. Penner N. 18. Pulkrab M. 12. Stransky V. 9. Vojta M.	29. Belhadj M. 10. Bottani M. 21. Cimignani Y. 27. Dos Santos D. 22. El Wafi A. 17. Mai L. 99. Mina D. (G) 58. Osigwe S. (G) 93. Przybylko K. 9. Vladi S.
Coaches
Brannstrom A.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Sakala B. ↓, Stransky V. ↑,
74', Aliseda I. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,
75', Mahou H. ↓, Przybylko K. ↑,
78', Hajdari A. 🟨,
81', Vydra P. (Pen),
84', Fulnek J. ↓, Marecek D. ↑,
84', Grgic A. ↓, Belhadj M. ↑,
88', Ladra T. ↓, Vojta M. ↑,
90+1', Steffen R. ↓, Mai L. ↑,
90+1', Bislimi U. ↓, Dos Santos D. ↑,
90+8', Bottani M. 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Lugano will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Mladá Boleslav: Kozel D. (Injury)

There will not play in Lugano: Vladi S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lugano: Belhadj M. (Injury) Valenzuela M. (Injury) Zanotti M. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
20.10.24	Bohemians 1905 - Mladá Boleslav	2:2 ✺
06.10.24	Mladá Boleslav - Baník Ostrava	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Noah Yerevan - Mladá Boleslav	2:0 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
29.09.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	1:1 ✺
22.09.24	Mladá Boleslav - Pardubice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLTT
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
20.10.24	Yverdon - Lugano	2:0 ✺
06.10.24	Zürich - Lugano	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
03.10.24	Lugano - HJK	3:0 ✺
Swiss Super League
29.09.24	Lugano - Winterthur	2:1 ✺
22.09.24	Sion - Lugano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTWWT

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