Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday

Location: Lokotrans Arena (Mlada Boleslav)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	O2 TV Fotbal, O2 TV Sport
Hungary	M4 Sport


	Mladá Boleslav		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.65	3.75	4.5
	1.68	3.75	4.75
	1.65	3.85	4.4
	1.68	4.03	4.53	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.5
	1.7	4.13	4.85	Watch
	1.68	3.75	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.95)	3.82 ↑ (3.35)	4.63 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mladá Boleslav
55.7%

Draw
24.3%

Paksi SE
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

26%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.3%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mladá Boleslav has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mladá Boleslav's performance.

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Paksi SE might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mladá Boleslav than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mladá Boleslav that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paksi SE could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.1%	9.5%	2.4%

Mladá Boleslav - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: Mladá Boleslav will win (74 of 83 users predict this - 89.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.47% – 95.85%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 31. Kostka D. 14. Kral T. 3. Kralik M. 11. Fulnek J. 5. Sakala B. 8. Matejovsky M. (C) 28. Masek L. 30. Marecek D. 23. Kusej V. 10. Ladra T.	25. Simon B. (G) 23. Otvos B. 2. Kinyik A. 24. Lenzser B. 20. Kovacs K. 22. Windecker J. 5. Vecsei B. 21. Papp K. 11. Osvath A. 10. Haraszti Z. (C) 15. Zimonyi D.
Substitutes
70. Buryan J. 13. Donat D. 59. Floder J. (G) 32. Jawo L. 26. Kadlec A. 6. Langhamer D. 99. Mikulec P. (G) 18. Pulkrab M. 12. Stransky V. 17. Suchy M. 9. Vojta M. 7. Zitny P.	8. Balogh B. 13. Bode D. 31. Borsos V. (G) 77. Gevay Z. 18. Gyurkits G. 19. Horvath K. 26. Mezei S. 14. Silye E. 27. Szabo B. 29. Toth B. 12. Vas G.
Coaches
Holoubek D.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
5', Lenzser B. 🟨,
39', Papp K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Zimonyi D. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
59', Marecek D. ↓, Langhamer D. ↑,
64', Windecker J. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Kinyik A. (Own goal), Kusej V. (A),
78', Vecsei B. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
78', Haraszti Z. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Toth B. (A),
83', Kusej V. ↓, Jawo L. ↑,
83', Masek L. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
85', 1 - 2, Papp K. ⚽, Bode D. (A),
90+4', Kovacs K. ↓, Vas G. ↑,
90+6', Lenzser B. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Ladra T. ⚽,
90+8', Toth B. ↓, Silye E. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Mladá Boleslav is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paksi SE is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paksi SE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Mladá Boleslav is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mladá Boleslav
Czech 1 Liga
18.08.24	Sigma Olomouc - Mladá Boleslav	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Mladá Boleslav	2:4 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
11.08.24	Mladá Boleslav - Dynamo České Budějovice	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Mladá Boleslav - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
04.08.24	Hradec Králové - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWWTL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
18.08.24	Paksi SE - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.24	Mornar Bar - Paksi SE	2:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
10.08.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Paksi SE - Mornar Bar	3:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
04.08.24	Paksi SE - Ujpest	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WTLWW

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