Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Podgorica City Stadium (Podgorica)

Referee: Vergoote J. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Montenegro	TVCG 2


	Mornar Bar		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.4	1.95
	3.4	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.59	3.52	1.94
	3.5	3.75	1.95	Watch
	3.66	3.62	1.99	Watch
	3.4	3.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	3.66 ↓ (3.77)	1.95 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mornar Bar
26.7%

Draw
25.5%

Paksi SE
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

24.5%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.2%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mornar Bar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mornar Bar than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Mornar Bar - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: Paksi SE will win (23 of 25 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Popovic S. (G) 2. Stevanovic S. 32. Ljutica V. 16. Mitrovic F. 33. Vukotic B. 10. Kishi K. 4. Kaludjerovic A. (C) 7. Cetkovic M. 20. Vusurovic M. 9. Vujacic A. 18. Zoric D.	1. Szappanos P. (G) 23. Otvos B. 2. Kinyik A. 24. Lenzser B. 11. Osvath A. 21. Papp K. 5. Vecsei B. 22. Windecker J. 30. Szabo J. (C) 26. Mezei S. 29. Toth B.
Substitutes
11. Kolundzic A. 1. Pavlicic D. (G) 94. Perovic L. 97. Seratlic E. 80. Trifunovic V. 17. Vukovic N.	8. Balogh B. 13. Bode D. 31. Borsos V. (G) 77. Gevay Z. 10. Haraszti Z. 19. Horvath K. 20. Kovacs K. 14. Silye E. 25. Simon B. (G) 27. Szabo B. 12. Vas G. 15. Zimonyi D.
Coaches
Medigovic S.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Windecker J. (Pen),
18', 1 - 1, Lenzser B. (Own goal),
24', Szabo J. ↓, Kovacs K. ↑,
44', Lenzser B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Mezei S. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
60', 2 - 1, Zoric D. ⚽,
60', Vukotic B. ↓, Seratlic E. ↑,
60', Toth B. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
73', Kaludjerovic A. 🟨,
77', Cetkovic M. ↓, Kolundzic A. ↑,
83', Vecsei B. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
83', Stevanovic S. ↓, Vukovic N. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Balogh B. ⚽, Kovacs K. (A),
88', Windecker J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Podgorica City Stadium. 1st leg result: 0-3.

Mornar Bar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paksi SE is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paksi SE could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Paksi SE will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mornar Bar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Mornar Bar
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Paksi SE - Mornar Bar	3:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
04.08.24	Mornar Bar - Otrant	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
31.07.24	Mornar Bar - Radnički 1923	3:1 penalties ✺
25.07.24	Radnički 1923 - Mornar Bar	1:0 ✺
18.07.24	Dinamo Tbilisi - Mornar Bar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWLT
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
10.08.24	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Paksi SE - Mornar Bar	3:0 ✺
Hungarian NB I
04.08.24	Paksi SE - Ujpest	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
01.08.24	AEK Larnaca - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
28.07.24	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.24	Paksi SE - Mornar Bar	3:0

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