Match Info

NPL South Australia - Round 13

Date: 9 June 2025, Monday


	Adelaide Croatia Raiders		FK Beograd

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.3	3.75	2.5
	2.45	3.85	2.25	Watch
	2.54	3.84	2.36
	2.44	4.03	2.46	Watch
	2.38	3.5	2.5
	2.32	4.19	2.51	Watch
	2.45	3.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.65)	3.86 ↓ (4)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adelaide Croatia Raiders
38.1%

Draw
23.8%

FK Beograd
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

22.7%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

22%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adelaide Croatia Raiders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

FK Beograd has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adelaide Croatia Raiders than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FK Beograd than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that FK Beograd could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Adelaide Croatia Raiders - FK Beograd Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Adelaide Croatia will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Beograd will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Konstandopoulos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 0 - 2, Trimboli A. ⚽,
67', 0 - 3, Konstandopoulos J. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ SA State League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL South Australia (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Adelaide Croatia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Beograd is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Adelaide Croatia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.8:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Adelaide Croatia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Australian NPL South Australian
31.05.25	Adelaide United U23 - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0:0 ✺
24.05.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Adelaide City	1:2 ✺
16.05.25	Campbelltown City - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - Para Hills Knights	2:2 ✺
01.05.25	Croydon - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLTL
- FK Beograd Australia
Australian NPL South Australian
30.05.25	Adelaide City - FK Beograd	2:4 ✺
24.05.25	FK Beograd - Campbelltown City	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Para Hills Knights - FK Beograd	2:4 ✺
11.05.25	FK Beograd - Croydon	3:1 ✺
02.05.25	Adelaide Comets - FK Beograd	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
02.03.25	FK Beograd - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1:3
13.07.24	FK Beograd - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	3:1
20.04.24	Adelaide Croatia Raiders - FK Beograd	3:2
Australian APL Premier League
23.05.15	FK Beograd - Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0:4

Adelaide Croatia Raiders - FK Beograd: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide