Match Info

Date: 28 March 2022, Monday


	Modena		Ancona

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.4	6.25	Watch
	1.35	4.35	6.75
	1.38	3.95	6.2
	1.35	4.39	8.28
	1.36	4.2	7
	1.4	4.45	7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)	4.29 ↑ (3.74)	6.91 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Modena
65.9%

Draw
21.1%

Ancona
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

23%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Modena's performance.

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Modena - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs)).

Modena is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ancona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Modena is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Modena won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Modena
Italian Serie C Group B
19.03.22	Vis Pesaro - Modena	0:3 ✺
15.03.22	Modena - Siena	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Carrarese - Modena	2:3 ✺
06.03.22	Modena - Olbia	1:2 ✺
28.02.22	Modena - Pescara	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTWLW
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
19.03.22	Ancona - Carrarese	2:0 ✺
15.03.22	Virtus Entella - Ancona	2:0 ✺
12.03.22	Ancona - Viterbese	2:2 ✺
06.03.22	Fermana - Ancona	1:0 ✺
27.02.22	Ancona - Reggiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
20.11.21	Ancona - Modena	0:1
12.02.17	Modena - Ancona	2:1
24.09.16	Ancona - Modena	1:0

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