Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 11

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Fermana		Ancona

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	3.2	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.65	2.75	2.85
	3.24	2.87	2.31
	2.9	3.2	2.2
	3.08	3.02	2.24
	3.15	3	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.5)	2.98 ↓ (3.2)	2.33 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermana
30.1%

Draw
30.6%

Ancona
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

28.1%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermana's form might have worsened.

Ancona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermana than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Fermana - Ancona Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Fermana will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Ancona will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Furlanetto A. (G) 5. Spedalieri J. 88. Padella E. 30. Laverone L. 27. Calderoni M. 8. Scorza C. 20. Giandonato M. (C) 26. Misuraca G. 7. Tilli R. 92. Montini M. 9. Curatolo D.	92. Perucchini F. (G) 94. Saco C. 4. Cella S. 30. Pellizzari S. 19. Agyemang G. 23. Clemente G. 8. Gatto E. (C) 21. Paolucci L. 10. Energe A. 9. Spagnoli A. 11. Cioffi A.
Substitutes
19. Biral N. 2. Eleuteri A. 16. Fontana T. 6. Fort F. 34. Gasbarro A. 21. Grassi L. 12. Mancini A. (G) 11. Paponi D. 10. Pinzi R. 3. Pistolesi F. 70. Semprini M. 18. Vessella M.	70. Barnaba T. 99. Basso G. 31. Dutu E. 80. Gavioli L. 20. Kristoffersen . J. 13. Marenco F. 3. Martina A. 72. Mattioli A. 6. Nador S. 7. Peli L. 34. Radicchio V. M. 22. Testagrossa G. (G) 12. Vitali L. (G)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Fermana has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ancona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fermana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fermana won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Fermana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fermana
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.23	Olbia - Fermana	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Fermana - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
15.10.23	SPAL - Fermana	0:0 ✺
09.10.23	Fermana - Perugia	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.23	Pescara - Fermana	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTLL
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
26.10.23	Ancona - Arezzo	3:0 ✺
22.10.23	Rimini - Ancona	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Carrarese - Ancona	1:0 ✺
08.10.23	Ancona - Vis Pesaro	3:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Ancona - Pineto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
12.02.23	Fermana - Ancona	2:1
16.10.22	Ancona - Fermana	2:1
06.03.22	Fermana - Ancona	1:0
23.10.21	Ancona - Fermana	1:2

Fermana - Ancona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide